Football · Argentina Nacional B · 22/08, 22:00
Prediction: Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes Caseros
Team pages: Central Norte · CA Estudiantes Caseros
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.72Total
Central Norte0.86
CA Estudiantes Caseros0.86
1X2
Central Norte
Draw
CA Estudiantes Caseros
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Central Norte
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
CA Estudiantes Caseros
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Norte
1–1–1
CA Estudiantes Caseros
(3 last)
- CA Estudiantes Caseros1-0Central Norte
- CA Estudiantes Caseros0-1Central Norte
- Central Norte1-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Norte 1479 · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1529
| Central Norte | Draw | CA Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 36% | 32% |
| Market | 33% | 35% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.72 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Estudiantes Caseros (rating 1479 vs 1529).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Norte | CA Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 2.7 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Norte 1–1–1 CA Estudiantes Caseros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Central Norte |
| 29/06/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Central Norte |
| 23/02/25 Argentina Nacional B | Central Norte | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 22 | 44 |
| 3 | Colon | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 37 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 37 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 35 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 34 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
| 10 | Racing de Cordoba | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 28 | 31 |
| 11 | Club Atletico Mitre | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 29 |
| 12 | CA San Miguel | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 29 |
| 13 | Defensores de Belgrano | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 26 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 24 | 24 |
| 15 | All Boys | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 24 |
| 16 | CA San Telmo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 27 | 23 |
| 17 | CA Chaco For Ever | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 29 | 22 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 29 | 22 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Norte | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
|---|---|---|
| All Boys | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Los Andes | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Norte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 10/08 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
CA Estudiantes Caseros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/07 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 05/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: Central Norte 32%, draw 36%, CA Estudiantes Caseros 32%.
How many goals are expected in Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
The model expects 1.72 goals (Central Norte 0.86 · CA Estudiantes Caseros 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.