Football · Argentina Nacional B · 22/08, 22:00
Prediction: Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes
Team pages: Deportivo Maipu · Quilmes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Deportivo Maipu1.26
Quilmes1.07
1X2
Deportivo Maipu
Draw
Quilmes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Maipu
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Quilmes
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Maipu
2–2–2
Quilmes
(6 last)
- Quilmes2-1Deportivo Maipu
- Quilmes2-2Deportivo Maipu
- Deportivo Maipu2-0Quilmes
- Quilmes3-0Deportivo Maipu
- Deportivo Maipu1-1Quilmes
- Deportivo Maipu1-0Quilmes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Maipu 1510 · Quilmes 1517
| Deportivo Maipu | Draw | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 38% | 33% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Maipu | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 2.8 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Maipu 2–2–2 Quilmes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 21/06/25 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 16/02/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Quilmes |
| 13/10/24 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 26/05/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Quilmes |
| 27/08/23 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Quilmes |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 44 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 25 | 39 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 17 | 38 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 27 | 35 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 35 |
| 9 | Quilmes | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 21 | 32 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 32 |
| 11 | CA Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 30 |
| 12 | Almagro | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 30 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 29 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 29 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 26 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 40 | 20 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Maipu | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrocarril Midland | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Atlanta | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Quilmes (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Maipu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 27/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Maipu win (39%). Probabilities: Deportivo Maipu 39%, draw 32%, Quilmes 29%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Deportivo Maipu 1.26 · Quilmes 1.07), with a 58% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.