Football · Argentina Nacional B · 15/08, 22:00
Prediction: Acassuso vs Ferrocarril Midland
Team pages: Acassuso · Ferrocarril Midland
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Acassuso0.79
Ferrocarril Midland1.14
1X2
Acassuso
Draw
Ferrocarril Midland
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Acassuso
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Ferrocarril Midland
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Acassuso
1–1–3
Ferrocarril Midland
(5 last)
- Ferrocarril Midland1-0Acassuso
- Ferrocarril Midland2-1Acassuso
- Acassuso1-1Ferrocarril Midland
- Acassuso2-1Ferrocarril Midland
- Ferrocarril Midland3-0Acassuso
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Acassuso 1453 · Ferrocarril Midland 1534
| Acassuso | Draw | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 33% | 42% |
| Market | 25% | 32% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.93 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferrocarril Midland (rating 1453 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Ferrocarril Midland: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Acassuso | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.1 | 2.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Acassuso 1–1–3 Ferrocarril Midland
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Ferrocarril Midland | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Acassuso |
| 20/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Ferrocarril Midland | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Acassuso |
| 16/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ferrocarril Midland |
| 06/10/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ferrocarril Midland |
| 19/05/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Ferrocarril Midland | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Acassuso |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferrocarril Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin SJ | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 39 | 19 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Acassuso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 01/08 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 12/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 14/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Ferrocarril Midland
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 21/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Acassuso vs Ferrocarril Midland?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferrocarril Midland win (43%). Probabilities: Acassuso 25%, draw 33%, Ferrocarril Midland 43%.
How many goals are expected in Acassuso vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model expects 1.93 goals (Acassuso 0.79 · Ferrocarril Midland 1.14), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Acassuso vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.