Football · Spain Tercera Group 9 · 25/10, 12:00
Prediction: Arenas vs UD San Pedro
Team pages: Arenas · UD San Pedro
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Arenas1.59
UD San Pedro0.95
1X2
Arenas
Draw
UD San Pedro
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Arenas
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
UD San Pedro
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arenas
1–1
UD San Pedro
(2 last)
- UD San Pedro2-1Arenas
- Arenas2-0UD San Pedro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arenas 1548 · UD San Pedro 1502
| Arenas | Draw | UD San Pedro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 28% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arenas (rating 1548 vs 1502).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arenas | UD San Pedro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | – / – |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | //% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.5 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arenas 1–0–1 UD San Pedro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 9 | UD San Pedro | 2-1 | Arenas |
| 10/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 9 | Arenas | 2-0 HT 2-0 | UD San Pedro |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 9
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Almeria B | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Malagueno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana de la Vega CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Atletico Porcuna CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 10 |
| 11 | Recreativo Granada | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | UD Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | CD Huetor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 6 |
| 15 | Atletico Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | Atletico Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 5 |
| 17 | Cantoria 2017 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
| 18 | CD Malaga Juniors FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arenas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Alhaurino Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | CD Malaga Juniors FC Spain Tercera Group 9 |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | UD Torre del Mar Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | CD Huetor Vega Spain Tercera Group 9 |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | Atletico Mancha Real Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Atletico de Marbella Paraiso Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | UD San Pedro Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Alhaurino Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
UD San Pedro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FC Marbelli Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Melilla Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Motril Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Churriana de la Vega CF Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Almeria B Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Recreativo Granada Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Atletico Malagueno Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Arenas Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Churriana de la Vega CF Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | CD Torreperogil Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arenas vs UD San Pedro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arenas win (52%). Probabilities: Arenas 52%, draw 26%, UD San Pedro 22%.
How many goals are expected in Arenas vs UD San Pedro?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Arenas 1.59 · UD San Pedro 0.95), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Arenas vs UD San Pedro?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.