Football · Spain Tercera Group 9 · 25/10, 12:00
Prediction: Atletico Mancha Real vs Alhaurino
Team pages: Atletico Mancha Real · Alhaurino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Atletico Mancha Real1.22
Alhaurino1.41
1X2
Atletico Mancha Real
Draw
Alhaurino
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Mancha Real
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Alhaurino
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Mancha Real
1–2–1
Alhaurino
(4 last)
- Alhaurino1-1Atletico Mancha Real
- Atletico Mancha Real2-4Alhaurino
- Alhaurino0-1Atletico Mancha Real
- Atletico Mancha Real1-1Alhaurino
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alhaurino (rating 1438 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Mancha Real | Alhaurino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 43/43/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 2.8 | 2.2 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Mancha Real 1–2–1 Alhaurino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 9 | Alhaurino | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico Mancha Real |
| 11/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 9 | Atletico Mancha Real | 2-4 | Alhaurino |
| 07/04/19 Spain Tercera Group 9 | Alhaurino | 0-1 | Atletico Mancha Real |
| 25/11/18 Spain Tercera Group 9 | Atletico Mancha Real | 1-1 | Alhaurino |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 9
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Almeria B | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Malagueno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana de la Vega CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Atletico Porcuna CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 10 |
| 11 | Recreativo Granada | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | UD Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | CD Huetor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 6 |
| 15 | Atletico Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | Atletico Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 5 |
| 17 | Cantoria 2017 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
| 18 | CD Malaga Juniors FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Mancha Real | Alhaurino |
|---|---|---|
| Arenas | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Marbelli | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Recreativo Granada | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Alhaurino (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Mancha Real
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | CD Malaga Juniors FC Spain Tercera Group 9 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | UD Torre del Mar Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | CD Huetor Vega Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Atletico Marbella Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Arenas Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Marbelli Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Alhaurino Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Recreativo Granada Spain Tercera Group 9 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
Alhaurino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Arenas Spain Tercera Group 9 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 10/10 | FC Marbelli Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Melilla Spain Tercera Group 9 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Motril Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Churriana de la Vega CF Spain Tercera Group 9 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 13/09 | Almeria B Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Recreativo Granada Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Atletico Mancha Real Spain Tercera Group 9 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Arenas Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Churriana de la Vega CF Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Mancha Real vs Alhaurino?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Alhaurino win (40%). Probabilities: Atletico Mancha Real 31%, draw 29%, Alhaurino 40%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Mancha Real vs Alhaurino?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Atletico Mancha Real 1.22 · Alhaurino 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Mancha Real vs Alhaurino?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.