Football · Indonesia Super League · 05/09, 10:30
Prediction: Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya
Team pages: Persebaya Surabaya
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Bhayangkara FC1.42
Persebaya Surabaya1.63
1X2
Bhayangkara FC
Draw
Persebaya Surabaya
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Bhayangkara FC
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Persebaya Surabaya
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bhayangkara FC
2–1–3
Persebaya Surabaya
(6 last)
- Persebaya Surabaya1-2Bhayangkara FC
- Bhayangkara FC1-1Persebaya Surabaya
- Persebaya Surabaya1-0Bhayangkara FC
- Bhayangkara FC1-2Persebaya Surabaya
- Persebaya Surabaya2-1Bhayangkara FC
- Bhayangkara FC1-0Persebaya Surabaya
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Persebaya Surabaya (rating 1503 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Persebaya Surabaya: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bhayangkara FC | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.9 | 2.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 4 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bhayangkara FC 2–1–3 Persebaya Surabaya
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Indonesia Super League | Persebaya Surabaya | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Bhayangkara FC |
| 28/11/25 Indonesia Super League | Bhayangkara FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Persebaya Surabaya |
| 04/02/24 Indonesia Super League | Persebaya Surabaya | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bhayangkara FC |
| 08/08/23 Indonesia Super League | Bhayangkara FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Persebaya Surabaya |
| 23/01/23 Indonesia Super League | Persebaya Surabaya | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Bhayangkara FC |
| 07/08/22 Indonesia Super League | Bhayangkara FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Persebaya Surabaya |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arema FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bali United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bhayangkara FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Borneo FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dewa United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Adhyaksa Farmel FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Malut United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Madura United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Persebaya Surabaya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Persijap Jepara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Persik Kediri | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Persita Tangerang | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSM Makassar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bhayangkara FC | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| PSBS Biak | 7-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Madura United | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Persis Solo | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Persija Jakarta | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Arema FC | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bhayangkara FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bhayangkara FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Bali United Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 17/04 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 10/03 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
Persebaya Surabaya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Semen Padang Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/04 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Malut United FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/03 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Persebaya Surabaya win (41%). Probabilities: Bhayangkara FC 32%, draw 26%, Persebaya Surabaya 41%.
How many goals are expected in Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Bhayangkara FC 1.42 · Persebaya Surabaya 1.63), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.