Football · Indonesia Super League · 13/09, 10:30
Prediction: PSM Makassar vs Arema FC
Team pages: PSM Makassar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
PSM Makassar1.22
Arema FC1.48
1X2
PSM Makassar
Draw
Arema FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
PSM Makassar
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Arema FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSM Makassar
1–1–4
Arema FC
(6 last)
- Arema FC3-0PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar1-2Arema FC
- Arema FC1-1PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar0-1Arema FC
- Arema FC3-2PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar3-0Arema FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arema FC (rating 1453 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Arema FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSM Makassar | Arema FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSM Makassar 1–1–4 Arema FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Indonesia Super League | Arema FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | PSM Makassar |
| 19/10/25 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Arema FC |
| 10/02/25 Indonesia Super League | Arema FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | PSM Makassar |
| 15/09/24 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Arema FC |
| 25/04/24 Indonesia Super League | Arema FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | PSM Makassar |
| 20/10/23 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Arema FC |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arema FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Persib Bandung | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Madura United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bali United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Dewa United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Persija Jakarta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Persebaya Surabaya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Persita Tangerang | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Garudayaksa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | PSS Sleman | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Borneo FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Persik Kediri | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSM Makassar | Arema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Persib Bandung | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Persik Kediri | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Persis Solo | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Arema FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSM Makassar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Bali United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 10/04 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Arema FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Super League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
4-2 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Java United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arema FC win (42%). Probabilities: PSM Makassar 30%, draw 28%, Arema FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?
The model expects 2.7 goals (PSM Makassar 1.22 · Arema FC 1.48), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.