Football · Indonesia Super League · 13/09, 14:00
Prediction: Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta
Team pages: Persebaya Surabaya · PSIM Yogyakarta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Persebaya Surabaya2.08
PSIM Yogyakarta0.55
1X2
Persebaya Surabaya
Draw
PSIM Yogyakarta
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Persebaya Surabaya
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
PSIM Yogyakarta
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Persebaya Surabaya
3–1–1
PSIM Yogyakarta
(5 last)
- PSIM Yogyakarta0-3Persebaya Surabaya
- Persebaya Surabaya0-1PSIM Yogyakarta
- Persebaya Surabaya1-0PSIM Yogyakarta
- Persebaya Surabaya2-1PSIM Yogyakarta
- PSIM Yogyakarta1-1Persebaya Surabaya
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Persebaya Surabaya (rating 1614 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Persebaya Surabaya: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Persebaya Surabaya | PSIM Yogyakarta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 6.6 | 2.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Persebaya Surabaya 3–1–1 PSIM Yogyakarta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Indonesia Super League | PSIM Yogyakarta | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Persebaya Surabaya |
| 08/08/25 Indonesia Super League | Persebaya Surabaya | 0-1 HT 0-0 | PSIM Yogyakarta |
| 17/07/22 World Club Friendlies | Persebaya Surabaya | 1-0 HT 0-0 | PSIM Yogyakarta |
| 16/08/17 Indonesia Championship | Persebaya Surabaya | 2-1 HT 2-0 | PSIM Yogyakarta |
| 18/05/17 Indonesia Championship | PSIM Yogyakarta | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Persebaya Surabaya |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arema FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Persib Bandung | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Madura United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bali United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Dewa United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Persija Jakarta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Persebaya Surabaya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Persita Tangerang | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Garudayaksa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | PSS Sleman | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Borneo FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Persik Kediri | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Persebaya Surabaya | PSIM Yogyakarta |
|---|---|---|
| Bhayangkara FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Arema FC | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Malut United FC | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Madura United | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Persija Jakarta | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Persita Tangerang | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Persebaya Surabaya (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Persebaya Surabaya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Semen Padang Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/04 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Malut United FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
PSIM Yogyakarta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/05 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Malut United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 22/04 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 17/04 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/04 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 03/04 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Persebaya Surabaya win (73%). Probabilities: Persebaya Surabaya 73%, draw 20%, PSIM Yogyakarta 8%.
How many goals are expected in Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Persebaya Surabaya 2.08 · PSIM Yogyakarta 0.55), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.