Football · Indonesia Super League · 18/09, 10:30
Prediction: Arema FC vs Persik Kediri
Team pages: Arema FC · Persik Kediri
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Arema FC1.91
Persik Kediri1.07
1X2
Arema FC
Draw
Persik Kediri
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Arema FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Persik Kediri
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arema FC
1–5
Persik Kediri
(6 last)
- Persik Kediri3-2Arema FC
- Arema FC2-1Persik Kediri
- Arema FC0-3Persik Kediri
- Persik Kediri1-0Arema FC
- Arema FC0-1Persik Kediri
- Persik Kediri5-2Arema FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arema FC (rating 1546 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Persik Kediri: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arema FC | Persik Kediri | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arema FC 1–0–5 Persik Kediri
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Indonesia Super League | Persik Kediri | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Arema FC |
| 11/01/26 Indonesia Super League | Arema FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Persik Kediri |
| 11/05/25 Indonesia Super League | Arema FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Persik Kediri |
| 16/12/24 Indonesia Super League | Persik Kediri | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Arema FC |
| 27/11/23 Indonesia Super League | Arema FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Persik Kediri |
| 15/07/23 Indonesia Super League | Persik Kediri | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Arema FC |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bali United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Madura United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Dewa United FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Arema FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Persib Bandung | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Persik Kediri | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Borneo FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bhayangkara FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 10 | Persita Tangerang | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Persebaya Surabaya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | PSM Makassar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arema FC | Persik Kediri |
|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 3-3 D | 1-3 L |
| Persebaya Surabaya | 0-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Persita Tangerang | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Arema FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arema FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Super League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
4-2 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Persik Kediri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Semen Padang Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/04 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arema FC vs Persik Kediri?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arema FC win (56%). Probabilities: Arema FC 56%, draw 24%, Persik Kediri 20%.
How many goals are expected in Arema FC vs Persik Kediri?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Arema FC 1.91 · Persik Kediri 1.07), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Arema FC vs Persik Kediri?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.