Football · Indonesia Super League · 18/09, 14:00
Prediction: Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta
Team pages: Madura United · PSIM Yogyakarta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Madura United1.75
PSIM Yogyakarta0.8
1X2
Madura United
Draw
PSIM Yogyakarta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Madura United
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
PSIM Yogyakarta
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Madura United
0–2
PSIM Yogyakarta
(2 last)
- PSIM Yogyakarta2-1Madura United
- Madura United0-3PSIM Yogyakarta
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madura United (rating 1557 vs 1469).
- H2H favours PSIM Yogyakarta: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Madura United | PSIM Yogyakarta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Madura United 0–0–2 PSIM Yogyakarta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Indonesia Super League | PSIM Yogyakarta | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Madura United |
| 10/01/26 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 0-3 HT 0-0 | PSIM Yogyakarta |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bali United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Madura United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Dewa United FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Arema FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Persib Bandung | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Persik Kediri | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Borneo FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bhayangkara FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 10 | Persita Tangerang | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Persebaya Surabaya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | PSM Makassar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Madura United | PSIM Yogyakarta |
|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Bhayangkara FC | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Persebaya Surabaya | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Madura United (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madura United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Bali United Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Semen Padang Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
PSIM Yogyakarta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/05 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Java United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 22/04 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 17/04 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/04 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Madura United win (59%). Probabilities: Madura United 59%, draw 25%, PSIM Yogyakarta 16%.
How many goals are expected in Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Madura United 1.75 · PSIM Yogyakarta 0.8), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.