Football · Indonesia Super League · 06/11, 13:00
Prediction: Madura United vs Arema FC
Team pages: Madura United · Arema FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
Madura United2
Arema FC1.59
1X2
Madura United
Draw
Arema FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Madura United
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Arema FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Madura United
1–3–2
Arema FC
(6 last)
- Madura United2-2Arema FC
- Arema FC2-2Madura United
- Arema FC0-1Madura United
- Madura United2-4Arema FC
- Madura United0-5Arema FC
- Madura United0-0Arema FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Arema FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Madura United | Arema FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 2.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Madura United 1–3–2 Arema FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Arema FC |
| 23/12/25 Indonesia Super League | Arema FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Madura United |
| 24/04/25 Indonesia Super League | Arema FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Madura United |
| 21/11/24 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Arema FC |
| 26/07/24 Indonesia Cup | Madura United | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Arema FC |
| 30/04/24 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Arema FC |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Bali United | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Madura United | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Persita Tangerang | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Persib Bandung | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Java United FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Persik Kediri | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Arema FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 9 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | Borneo FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 4 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 2 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Madura United | Arema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Bhayangkara FC | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| Persik Kediri | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| PSM Makassar | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Arema FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madura United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/10 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/10 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
Arema FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/10 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17/10 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Super League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
4-2 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madura United vs Arema FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Madura United win (47%). Probabilities: Madura United 47%, draw 23%, Arema FC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Madura United vs Arema FC?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Madura United 2 · Arema FC 1.59), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Madura United vs Arema FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.