Football · Indonesia Super League · 08/11, 09:30
Prediction: Bali United vs Persik Kediri
Team pages: Bali United · Persik Kediri
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Bali United2.18
Persik Kediri1.46
1X2
Bali United
Draw
Persik Kediri
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Bali United
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Persik Kediri
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bali United
1–2–3
Persik Kediri
(6 last)
- Persik Kediri3-2Bali United
- Bali United1-1Persik Kediri
- Bali United1-3Persik Kediri
- Persik Kediri1-3Bali United
- Persik Kediri1-0Bali United
- Bali United1-1Persik Kediri
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bali United (rating 1531 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Persik Kediri: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bali United | Persik Kediri | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 3.5 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.7 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bali United 1–2–3 Persik Kediri
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Indonesia Super League | Persik Kediri | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Bali United |
| 10/08/25 Indonesia Super League | Bali United | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Persik Kediri |
| 12/01/25 Indonesia Super League | Bali United | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Persik Kediri |
| 11/08/24 Indonesia Super League | Persik Kediri | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Bali United |
| 05/02/24 Indonesia Super League | Persik Kediri | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bali United |
| 07/08/23 Indonesia Super League | Bali United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Persik Kediri |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Madura United | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Bali United | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Persita Tangerang | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Java United FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Persik Kediri | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Arema FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 9 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | Borneo FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 16 | PSS Sleman | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 4 |
| 17 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bali United | Persik Kediri |
|---|---|---|
| Arema FC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Persita Tangerang | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| Garudayaksa | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| PSS Sleman | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Dewa United FC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bali United (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bali United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/10 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 16/10 | Java United FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Persik Kediri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 26/10 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 22/10 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 09/10 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bali United vs Persik Kediri?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bali United win (53%). Probabilities: Bali United 53%, draw 22%, Persik Kediri 25%.
How many goals are expected in Bali United vs Persik Kediri?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Bali United 2.18 · Persik Kediri 1.46), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bali United vs Persik Kediri?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.