Football · Indonesia Super League · 31/10, 09:30
Prediction: PSM Makassar vs Madura United
Team pages: PSM Makassar · Madura United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
PSM Makassar1.33
Madura United1.49
1X2
PSM Makassar
Draw
Madura United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
PSM Makassar
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Madura United
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSM Makassar
2–1–3
Madura United
(6 last)
- Madura United2-0PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar1-1Madura United
- Madura United1-3PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar2-0Madura United
- Madura United2-0PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar0-2Madura United
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madura United (rating 1478 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Madura United: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSM Makassar | Madura United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSM Makassar 2–1–3 Madura United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 2-0 HT 1-0 | PSM Makassar |
| 02/11/25 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Madura United |
| 02/03/25 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 1-3 HT 0-0 | PSM Makassar |
| 18/10/24 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Madura United |
| 21/04/24 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 2-0 HT 2-0 | PSM Makassar |
| 08/10/23 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Madura United |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 3 | Madura United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Bali United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Persita Tangerang | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Persik Kediri | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 9 |
| 10 | Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | PSM Makassar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 12 | Java United FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | Borneo FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 2 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSM Makassar | Madura United |
|---|---|---|
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| PSS Sleman | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Persib Bandung | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Bhayangkara FC | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Madura United (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSM Makassar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/10 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Madura United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/10 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Bali United Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSM Makassar vs Madura United?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Madura United win (40%). Probabilities: PSM Makassar 33%, draw 27%, Madura United 40%.
How many goals are expected in PSM Makassar vs Madura United?
The model expects 2.82 goals (PSM Makassar 1.33 · Madura United 1.49), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PSM Makassar vs Madura United?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.