Football · Indonesia Super League · 21/10, 14:00
Prediction: Persija Jakarta vs Arema FC
Team pages: Persija Jakarta · Arema FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Persija Jakarta2.05
Arema FC1.27
1X2
Persija Jakarta
Draw
Arema FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Persija Jakarta
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Arema FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Persija Jakarta
4–2
Arema FC
(6 last)
- Persija Jakarta3-1Arema FC
- Persija Jakarta0-2Arema FC
- Arema FC1-2Persija Jakarta
- Persija Jakarta3-0Arema FC
- Persija Jakarta1-3Arema FC
- Arema FC1-2Persija Jakarta
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Persija Jakarta (rating 1573 vs 1512).
- H2H favours Persija Jakarta: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Persija Jakarta | Arema FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.7 | 2.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.3 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Persija Jakarta 4–0–2 Arema FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/26 World Club Friendlies | Persija Jakarta | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Arema FC |
| 08/02/26 Indonesia Super League | Persija Jakarta | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Arema FC |
| 08/11/25 Indonesia Super League | Arema FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Persija Jakarta |
| 26/07/25 World Club Friendlies | Persija Jakarta | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Arema FC |
| 09/03/25 Indonesia Super League | Persija Jakarta | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Arema FC |
| 26/10/24 Indonesia Super League | Arema FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Persija Jakarta |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Persita Tangerang | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | Madura United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Bali United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Persebaya Surabaya | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Persik Kediri | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Persib Bandung | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Arema FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | Borneo FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Java United FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | PSM Makassar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 16 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 17 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Persija Jakarta | Arema FC |
|---|---|---|
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Persik Kediri | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Persija Jakarta (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Persija Jakarta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Java United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Semen Padang Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 27/04 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
Arema FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Super League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
4-2 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Persija Jakarta vs Arema FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Persija Jakarta win (54%). Probabilities: Persija Jakarta 54%, draw 23%, Arema FC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Persija Jakarta vs Arema FC?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Persija Jakarta 2.05 · Arema FC 1.27), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Persija Jakarta vs Arema FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.