Football · Indonesia Super League · 22/10, 10:30
Prediction: PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya
Team pages: PSM Makassar · Persebaya Surabaya
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
PSM Makassar0.83
Persebaya Surabaya1.64
1X2
PSM Makassar
Draw
Persebaya Surabaya
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
PSM Makassar
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Persebaya Surabaya
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSM Makassar
0–3–3
Persebaya Surabaya
(6 last)
- Persebaya Surabaya1-0PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar1-1Persebaya Surabaya
- PSM Makassar0-1Persebaya Surabaya
- Persebaya Surabaya1-1PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar0-0Persebaya Surabaya
- Persebaya Surabaya1-0PSM Makassar
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Persebaya Surabaya (rating 1447 vs 1623).
- H2H favours Persebaya Surabaya: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSM Makassar | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 2.6 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 3.9 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSM Makassar 0–3–3 Persebaya Surabaya
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/26 Indonesia Super League | Persebaya Surabaya | 1-0 HT 1-0 | PSM Makassar |
| 06/12/25 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Persebaya Surabaya |
| 07/03/25 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Persebaya Surabaya |
| 23/10/24 Indonesia Super League | Persebaya Surabaya | 1-1 HT 1-1 | PSM Makassar |
| 28/02/24 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Persebaya Surabaya |
| 18/08/23 Indonesia Super League | Persebaya Surabaya | 1-0 HT 1-0 | PSM Makassar |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Persita Tangerang | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | Madura United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Bali United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Persebaya Surabaya | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Persik Kediri | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Persib Bandung | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Arema FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | Borneo FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Java United FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | PSM Makassar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 16 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 17 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSM Makassar | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| PSS Sleman | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Arema FC | 3-3 D | 4-0 W |
| Bhayangkara FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Persebaya Surabaya (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSM Makassar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Bali United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Persebaya Surabaya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 09/10 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Semen Padang Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/04 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Persebaya Surabaya win (55%). Probabilities: PSM Makassar 18%, draw 27%, Persebaya Surabaya 55%.
How many goals are expected in PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The model expects 2.47 goals (PSM Makassar 0.83 · Persebaya Surabaya 1.64), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.