Football · England Super League Women · 04/10, 17:30
Prediction: Man City (W) vs Arsenal (W)
Team pages: Man City (W) · Arsenal (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Man City (W)1.66
Arsenal (W)1.22
1X2
Man City (W)
Draw
Arsenal (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Man City (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Arsenal (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Man City (W)
2–1–3
Arsenal (W)
(6 last)
- Arsenal (W)1-0Man City (W)
- Man City (W)3-2Arsenal (W)
- Arsenal (W)1-2Man City (W)
- Man City (W)3-4Arsenal (W)
- Arsenal (W)2-2Man City (W)
- Man City (W)1-2Arsenal (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Arsenal (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 16 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Man City (W) | Arsenal (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.8 | 2.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.3 | 1.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 8.4 | 2.8 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Man City (W) 2–1–3 Arsenal (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 England Super League Women | Arsenal (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Man City (W) |
| 04/10/25 England Super League Women | Man City (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Arsenal (W) |
| 06/02/25 England League Cup Women | Arsenal (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Man City (W) |
| 02/02/25 England Super League Women | Man City (W) | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Arsenal (W) |
| 22/09/24 England Super League Women | Arsenal (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Man City (W) |
| 05/05/24 England Super League Women | Man City (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Arsenal (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Tottenham (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Chelsea (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | London City Lionesses (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Liverpool (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Everton (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Arsenal (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| 9 | Man Utd (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | West Ham (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Brighton (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Birmingham (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 2 |
| 13 | Aston Villa (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Man City (W) | Arsenal (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (W) | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| West Ham (W) | 4-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Liverpool (W) | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Brighton (W) | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Tottenham (W) | 5-2 W | 5-2 W |
| Leicester (W) | 6-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Arsenal (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Man City (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
5-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 13/02 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Arsenal (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
3-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Man City (W) vs Arsenal (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Man City (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Man City (W) 47%, draw 26%, Arsenal (W) 27%.
How many goals are expected in Man City (W) vs Arsenal (W)?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Man City (W) 1.66 · Arsenal (W) 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Man City (W) vs Arsenal (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.