Football · Spain Tercera Group 18 · 25/10, 12:30

Prediction: AD San Clemente vs Marchamalo

Team pages: AD San Clemente · Marchamalo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

AD San Clemente1.42

Marchamalo1.35

1X2

38% 28% 35%

AD San Clemente Draw Marchamalo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

AD San Clemente 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLLWWD

Marchamalo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWDLDLW

Head-to-head

AD San Clemente 1–3 Marchamalo (4 last)

AD San Clemente1-0Marchamalo
Marchamalo3-0AD San Clemente
Marchamalo4-1AD San Clemente
AD San Clemente0-2Marchamalo

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marchamalo (rating 1476 vs 1521).
H2H favours Marchamalo: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD San Clemente	Marchamalo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	38/50/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.39▼	Pinn 2.39
X	3.01 → 3.15▲	Pinn 3.15
2	2.86 → 2.81▼	Pinn 2.81

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:43 +21’	2.45	3.01	2.86
12:25 +74’	2.39▼	3.15▲	2.81▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD San Clemente 1–0–3 Marchamalo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 18	AD San Clemente	1-0 HT 1-0	Marchamalo
15/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 18	Marchamalo	3-0 HT 2-0	AD San Clemente
31/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 18	Marchamalo	4-1	AD San Clemente
12/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 18	AD San Clemente	0-2	Marchamalo

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 18

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Manchego CR	7	6	0	1	10	5	18
2	CD Torrijos	7	4	2	1	10	4	14
3	Illescas	7	4	2	1	11	7	14
4	CD Tarancon	8	4	2	2	14	9	14
5	Villarrobledo	7	3	4	0	9	2	13
6	CD Noblejas	8	4	1	3	14	13	13
7	Toledo	7	4	1	2	15	8	13
8	CD Villa	7	4	0	3	8	8	12
9	Almansa	7	3	2	2	12	7	11
10	CD Villacanas	7	3	2	2	10	7	11
11	Marchamalo	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
12	AD San Clemente	7	2	3	2	11	13	9
13	Villarrubia CF	8	1	4	3	9	12	7
14	La Solana	7	2	0	5	6	10	6
15	CD Quintanar del Rey	7	1	2	4	7	13	5
16	Socuéllamos	7	0	4	3	3	7	4
17	CD Guadalajara S.A.D B	8	0	2	6	7	21	2
18	Huracan Balazote	7	0	1	6	6	18	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD San Clemente	Marchamalo
Almansa	1-1 D	1-3 L
CD Manchego CR	3-1 W	2-3 L
Huracan Balazote	5-3 W	2-0 W
Villarrubia CF	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: AD San Clemente (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD San Clemente

LLLDDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Almansa Spain Tercera Group 18	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
11/10	CD Manchego CR Spain Tercera Group 18	–	3-1	–	–	W
04/10	Huracan Balazote Spain Tercera Group 18	–	5-3	–	–	W
27/09	CD Villacanas Spain Tercera Group 18	–	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	La Solana Spain Tercera Group 18	0-2	0-4	1	5	L
13/09	CD Noblejas Spain Tercera Group 18	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Villarrubia CF Spain Tercera Group 18	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Albacete B Spain Tercera Group 18	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/05	La Solana Spain Tercera Group 18	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
26/04	Toledo Spain Tercera Group 18	–	0-4	–	–	L

Marchamalo

DLLWWDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Socuéllamos Spain Tercera Group 18	0-0	1-0	6	12	W
10/10	Almansa Spain Tercera Group 18	1-0	1-3	7	7	L
03/10	CD Tarancon Spain Tercera Group 18	–	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	CD Manchego CR Spain Tercera Group 18	1-1	2-3	4	4	L
20/09	CD Guadalajara S.A.D B Spain Tercera Group 18	0-1	2-2	14	5	D
13/09	Huracan Balazote Spain Tercera Group 18	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
05/09	CD Villa Spain Tercera Group 18	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
10/05	CD Sonseca Spain Tercera Group 18	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
03/05	Azuqueca Spain Tercera Group 18	–	0-4	–	–	L
25/04	Villarrubia CF Spain Tercera Group 18	2-2	2-2	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD San Clemente vs Marchamalo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD San Clemente win (38%). Probabilities: AD San Clemente 38%, draw 28%, Marchamalo 35%.

How many goals are expected in AD San Clemente vs Marchamalo?

The model expects 2.77 goals (AD San Clemente 1.42 · Marchamalo 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD San Clemente vs Marchamalo?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.