Football · Spain Tercera Group 18 · 31/10, 18:00
Prediction: CD Manchego CR vs Illescas
Team pages: CD Manchego CR · Illescas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.88Total
CD Manchego CR1.16
Illescas0.72
1X2
CD Manchego CR
Draw
Illescas
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Manchego CR
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Illescas
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Manchego CR
3–2–1
Illescas
(6 last)
- Illescas0-0CD Manchego CR
- CD Manchego CR2-0Illescas
- Illescas0-0CD Manchego CR
- CD Manchego CR1-0Illescas
- CD Manchego CR2-1Illescas
- Illescas2-0CD Manchego CR
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Manchego CR 1559 · Illescas 1498
| CD Manchego CR | Draw | Illescas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 33% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Manchego CR (rating 1559 vs 1498).
- H2H favours CD Manchego CR: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Manchego CR | Illescas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/63/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.5 | 3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 6.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Manchego CR 3–2–1 Illescas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 18 | Illescas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Manchego CR |
| 10/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 18 | CD Manchego CR | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Illescas |
| 21/01/23 Spain Tercera Group 18 | Illescas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Manchego CR |
| 18/09/22 Spain Tercera Group 18 | CD Manchego CR | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Illescas |
| 30/01/22 Spain Tercera Group 18 | CD Manchego CR | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Illescas |
| 03/10/21 Spain Tercera Group 18 | Illescas | 2-0 HT 0-0 | CD Manchego CR |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 18
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Manchego CR | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Toledo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | CD Villacanas | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Villarrobledo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | CD Tarancon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 15 |
| 7 | CD Torrijos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Illescas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | CD Noblejas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 10 | AD San Clemente | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | Marchamalo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
| 12 | Almansa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 11 |
| 13 | Villarrubia CF | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Socuéllamos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Huracan Balazote | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 7 |
| 16 | La Solana | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 17 | CD Quintanar del Rey | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 6 |
| 18 | CD Guadalajara S.A.D B | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Manchego CR | Illescas |
|---|---|---|
| Villarrobledo | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Huracan Balazote | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CD Villacanas | 2-0 W | 3-4 L |
| La Solana | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| CD Tarancon | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Manchego CR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Villarrobledo Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | Toledo Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 11/10 | AD San Clemente Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Almansa Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 27/09 | Marchamalo Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Huracan Balazote Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | CD Villacanas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | La Solana Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | CD Tarancon Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Illescas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Illescas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Huracan Balazote Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | CD Villacanas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | La Solana Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 03/10 | CD Noblejas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Villarrubia CF Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | CD Quintanar del Rey Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Socuéllamos Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | CD Tarancon Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | CD Manchego CR Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Villarrobledo Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Manchego CR vs Illescas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Manchego CR win (46%). Probabilities: CD Manchego CR 46%, draw 31%, Illescas 23%.
How many goals are expected in CD Manchego CR vs Illescas?
The model expects 1.88 goals (CD Manchego CR 1.16 · Illescas 0.72), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Manchego CR vs Illescas?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.