Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 09/09, 02:30
Prediction: Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira
Team pages: Oriente Petrolero · Guabira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.95Total
Oriente Petrolero2.17
Guabira1.78
1X2
Oriente Petrolero
Draw
Guabira
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Oriente Petrolero
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Guabira
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oriente Petrolero
3–2–1
Guabira
(6 last)
- Oriente Petrolero2-2Guabira
- Oriente Petrolero4-0Guabira
- Guabira1-2Oriente Petrolero
- Guabira3-3Oriente Petrolero
- Guabira1-3Oriente Petrolero
- Guabira3-2Oriente Petrolero
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oriente Petrolero 1545 · Guabira 1508
| Oriente Petrolero | Draw | Guabira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Oriente Petrolero: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oriente Petrolero | Guabira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.8 | 1.1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.9 | 6 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oriente Petrolero 3–2–1 Guabira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Guabira |
| 03/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Guabira |
| 17/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Guabira | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 26/06/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Guabira | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 26/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 23/02/25 America Friendlies | Guabira | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriente Petrolero | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Guabira | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 4 | Universitario De Vinto | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oriente Petrolero | Guabira |
|---|---|---|
| Blooming | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| The Strongest | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oriente Petrolero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 15/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 31/10 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/10 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-4 | 0-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/10 | Jorge Wilstermann Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 12/10 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/10 | Jorge Wilstermann Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
Guabira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/08 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 19/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/11 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | D |
| 31/10 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/10 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 13 | W |
| 12/10 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/10 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oriente Petrolero win (45%). Probabilities: Oriente Petrolero 45%, draw 24%, Guabira 30%.
How many goals are expected in Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Oriente Petrolero 2.17 · Guabira 1.78), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.