Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 10/09, 00:30
Prediction: Universitario De Vinto vs The Strongest
Team pages: Universitario De Vinto · The Strongest
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Universitario De Vinto1.47
The Strongest1.78
1X2
Universitario De Vinto
Draw
The Strongest
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Universitario De Vinto
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
The Strongest
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universitario De Vinto
1–1–4
The Strongest
(6 last)
- The Strongest4-3Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto1-2The Strongest
- Universitario De Vinto0-1The Strongest
- The Strongest3-2Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto3-0The Strongest
- The Strongest1-1Universitario De Vinto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universitario De Vinto 1415 · The Strongest 1522
| Universitario De Vinto | Draw | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1415 vs 1522).
- H2H favours The Strongest: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universitario De Vinto | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 5.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario De Vinto 1–1–4 The Strongest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 4-3 HT 2-2 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 05/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 1-2 HT 1-1 | The Strongest |
| 04/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 0-1 HT 0-1 | The Strongest |
| 30/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 20/02/25 America Friendlies | Universitario De Vinto | 3-0 HT 2-0 | The Strongest |
| 15/02/25 World Club Friendlies | The Strongest | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriente Petrolero | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Guabira | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 4 | Universitario De Vinto | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universitario De Vinto | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|
| Club Aurora | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Guabira | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Nacional Potosi | 4-3 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/08 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 14/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 07/11 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 29/10 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 23/10 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 4-3 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/10 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
The Strongest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 18/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 17/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 26/11 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/11 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 16/11 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 13/11 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/11 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 31/10 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universitario De Vinto vs The Strongest?
According to our model, the most likely result is an The Strongest win (44%). Probabilities: Universitario De Vinto 31%, draw 26%, The Strongest 44%.
How many goals are expected in Universitario De Vinto vs The Strongest?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Universitario De Vinto 1.47 · The Strongest 1.78), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Universitario De Vinto vs The Strongest?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.