Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 30/08, 23:15
Prediction: Bolivar vs The Strongest
Team pages: Bolivar · The Strongest
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
4Total
Bolivar2.25
The Strongest1.75
1X2
Bolivar
Draw
The Strongest
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Bolivar
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
The Strongest
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bolivar
3–3–0
The Strongest
(6 last)
- The Strongest1-1Bolivar
- Bolivar0-0The Strongest
- The Strongest2-2Bolivar
- The Strongest2-3Bolivar
- The Strongest3-5Bolivar
- Bolivar1-0The Strongest
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bolivar 1618 · The Strongest 1515
| Bolivar | Draw | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 22% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
4 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolivar (rating 1618 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Bolivar: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bolivar | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 1 | 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.6 | 1.8 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.7 | 6.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolivar 3–3–0 The Strongest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bolivar |
| 07/02/26 America Friendlies | Bolivar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | The Strongest |
| 31/01/26 America Friendlies | The Strongest | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Bolivar |
| 30/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Bolivar |
| 09/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | The Strongest | 3-5 HT 1-2 | Bolivar |
| 28/08/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Bolivar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | The Strongest |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Petrolero | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | GV San Jose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bolivar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/12 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
4-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/12 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 27/11 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
3-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/11 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 5-3 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 28/10 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
The Strongest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 18/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 17/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 26/11 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/11 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 16/11 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 13/11 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/11 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 31/10 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 26/10 | Jorge Wilstermann Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 5-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bolivar vs The Strongest?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bolivar win (47%). Probabilities: Bolivar 47%, draw 26%, The Strongest 27%.
How many goals are expected in Bolivar vs The Strongest?
The model expects 4 goals (Bolivar 2.25 · The Strongest 1.75), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bolivar vs The Strongest?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.