Football · Andorra Premier Division · 25/10, 17:00

Prediction: FC Ordino vs CE Carroi

Team pages: FC Ordino · CE Carroi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

FC Ordino1.9

CE Carroi1.09

1X2

55% 24% 21%

FC Ordino Draw CE Carroi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ordino 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWWLLW

CE Carroi 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLLDLL

Head-to-head

FC Ordino 4–1–1 CE Carroi (6 last)

FC Ordino5-0CE Carroi
CE Carroi3-1FC Ordino
FC Ordino3-1CE Carroi
FC Ordino1-1CE Carroi
CE Carroi0-2FC Ordino
FC Ordino4-0CE Carroi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Ordino 1508 · CE Carroi 1415

	FC Ordino	Draw	CE Carroi
Our model	55%	24%	20%
Market	56%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Ordino (rating 1508 vs 1415).
H2H favours FC Ordino: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 13.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ordino	CE Carroi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	0.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	0.7 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.2	6.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.80

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61
X	3.50 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	3.20 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:20 +1’	1.95	3.50	3.20
09:19 +4’	1.61▼	3.80▲	4.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ordino 4–1–1 CE Carroi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Andorra Premier Division	FC Ordino	5-0 HT 2-0	CE Carroi
20/12/25 Andorra Premier Division	CE Carroi	3-1	FC Ordino
09/11/25 Andorra Premier Division	FC Ordino	3-1 HT 1-0	CE Carroi
19/05/24 Andorra Premier Division	FC Ordino	1-1	CE Carroi
18/02/24 Andorra Premier Division	CE Carroi	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Ordino
08/10/23 Andorra Premier Division	FC Ordino	4-0 HT 2-0	CE Carroi

Standings · Andorra Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Santa Coloma	5	5	0	0	19	2	15
2	Inter Club d'Escaldes	5	4	1	0	16	4	13
3	FC Ordino	5	3	0	2	6	11	9
4	AC d'Escaldes	5	2	2	1	11	7	8
5	FC Rangers	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
6	CF Esperança d'Andorra	5	1	2	2	9	7	5
7	Penya Encarnada	5	1	2	2	5	10	5
8	CE Casa de Portugal	5	1	1	3	6	12	4
9	SC Escaldes	5	1	0	4	4	13	3
10	CE Carroi	5	0	1	4	2	12	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ordino	CE Carroi
FC Rangers	1-0 W	0-3 L
Inter Club d'Escaldes	0-4 L	0-3 L
SC Escaldes	2-1 W	0-1 L
FC Santa Coloma	1-0 W	0-3 L
Penya Encarnada	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ordino (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ordino

WLLWDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
10/10	Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
20/09	CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division	0-4	0-4	5	7	L
13/09	CE Casa de Portugal Andorra Premier Division	2-0	3-2	1	9	W
06/09	SC Escaldes Andorra Premier Division	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
16/05	CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division	1-0	2-2	7	9	D
10/05	FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
26/04	Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
19/04	Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division	0-2	0-4	4	5	L
11/04	CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division	2-0	5-0	5	6	W

CE Carroi

DLLLWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	SC Escaldes Andorra Premier Division	0-0	0-1	3	12	L
11/10	FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
19/09	Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division	1-1	2-2	1	7	D
13/09	Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division	0-2	0-3	2	7	L
05/09	FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
16/05	Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division	1-1	2-1	0	7	W
26/04	AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
19/04	FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division	1-0	1-2	2	9	L
11/04	FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division	0-2	0-5	0	6	L
22/03	UE Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division	0-0	0-0	2	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ordino vs CE Carroi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ordino win (55%). Probabilities: FC Ordino 55%, draw 24%, CE Carroi 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ordino vs CE Carroi?

The model expects 2.99 goals (FC Ordino 1.9 · CE Carroi 1.09), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ordino vs CE Carroi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.