Football · Andorra Premier Division · 25/10, 11:00
Prediction: Penya Encarnada vs CF Esperança d'Andorra
Team pages: Penya Encarnada · CF Esperança d'Andorra
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Penya Encarnada1.15
CF Esperança d'Andorra1.34
1X2
Penya Encarnada
Draw
CF Esperança d'Andorra
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Penya Encarnada
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
CF Esperança d'Andorra
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Penya Encarnada
6–0
CF Esperança d'Andorra
(6 last)
- CF Esperança d'Andorra0-1Penya Encarnada
- Penya Encarnada1-0CF Esperança d'Andorra
- CF Esperança d'Andorra0-1Penya Encarnada
- Penya Encarnada4-1CF Esperança d'Andorra
- CF Esperança d'Andorra1-2Penya Encarnada
- Penya Encarnada4-1CF Esperança d'Andorra
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Penya Encarnada 1487 · CF Esperança d'Andorra 1483
| Penya Encarnada | Draw | CF Esperança d'Andorra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Penya Encarnada: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Penya Encarnada | CF Esperança d'Andorra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 2.8 | 0.8 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.7 | 7.3 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Penya Encarnada 6–0–0 CF Esperança d'Andorra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 Andorra Premier Division | CF Esperança d'Andorra | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Penya Encarnada |
| 01/02/26 Andorra Premier Division | Penya Encarnada | 1-0 | CF Esperança d'Andorra |
| 09/11/25 Andorra Premier Division | CF Esperança d'Andorra | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Penya Encarnada |
| 27/04/25 Andorra Premier Division | Penya Encarnada | 4-1 HT 1-0 | CF Esperança d'Andorra |
| 16/02/25 Andorra Premier Division | CF Esperança d'Andorra | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Penya Encarnada |
| 29/09/24 Andorra Premier Division | Penya Encarnada | 4-1 HT 3-1 | CF Esperança d'Andorra |
Standings · Andorra Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Santa Coloma | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | FC Ordino | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 4 | AC d'Escaldes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 5 | FC Rangers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | CF Esperança d'Andorra | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| 7 | Penya Encarnada | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 8 | CE Casa de Portugal | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 9 | SC Escaldes | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 3 |
| 10 | CE Carroi | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Penya Encarnada | CF Esperança d'Andorra |
|---|---|---|
| FC Santa Coloma | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| AC d'Escaldes | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Rangers | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Ordino | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| UE Santa Coloma | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CF Esperança d'Andorra (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Penya Encarnada
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | CE Casa de Portugal Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 11/10 | SC Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | UE Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
CF Esperança d'Andorra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 11/10 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 13 | L |
| 06/09 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 10/05 | UE Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 13/04 | Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 22/03 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Penya Encarnada vs CF Esperança d'Andorra?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CF Esperança d'Andorra win (41%). Probabilities: Penya Encarnada 32%, draw 27%, CF Esperança d'Andorra 41%.
How many goals are expected in Penya Encarnada vs CF Esperança d'Andorra?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Penya Encarnada 1.15 · CF Esperança d'Andorra 1.34), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Penya Encarnada vs CF Esperança d'Andorra?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.