Football · Andorra Premier Division · 01/11, 17:00
Prediction: Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada
Team pages: Inter Club d'Escaldes · Penya Encarnada
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Inter Club d'Escaldes2.65
Penya Encarnada0.71
1X2
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Draw
Penya Encarnada
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Club d'Escaldes
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Penya Encarnada
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Inter Club d'Escaldes
5–1–0
Penya Encarnada
(6 last)
- Inter Club d'Escaldes2-1Penya Encarnada
- Penya Encarnada0-1Inter Club d'Escaldes
- Inter Club d'Escaldes4-0Penya Encarnada
- Inter Club d'Escaldes3-2Penya Encarnada
- Penya Encarnada1-1Inter Club d'Escaldes
- Inter Club d'Escaldes6-0Penya Encarnada
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inter Club d'Escaldes 1563 · Penya Encarnada 1419
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | Draw | Penya Encarnada | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 78% | 14% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Club d'Escaldes (rating 1563 vs 1419).
- H2H favours Inter Club d'Escaldes: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | Penya Encarnada | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 11/44/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 7.8 | 1.2 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.5 | 5.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Club d'Escaldes 5–1–0 Penya Encarnada
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Andorra Premier Division | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Penya Encarnada |
| 14/02/26 Andorra Premier Division | Penya Encarnada | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Inter Club d'Escaldes |
| 17/12/25 Andorra Premier Division | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Penya Encarnada |
| 16/05/25 Andorra Premier Division | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Penya Encarnada |
| 09/02/25 Andorra Premier Division | Penya Encarnada | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Inter Club d'Escaldes |
| 12/01/25 Andorra Cup | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 6-0 HT 4-0 | Penya Encarnada |
Standings · Andorra Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Santa Coloma | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | FC Ordino | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| 4 | CF Esperança d'Andorra | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | AC d'Escaldes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | CE Casa de Portugal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 8 | Penya Encarnada | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 5 |
| 9 | SC Escaldes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 4 |
| 10 | CE Carroi | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Club d'Escaldes | Penya Encarnada |
|---|---|---|
| FC Santa Coloma | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| AC d'Escaldes | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Ordino | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Rangers | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CE Carroi | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| CF Esperança d'Andorra | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Inter Club d'Escaldes (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Club d'Escaldes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 10/10 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 15 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 12 | W |
| 13/09 | CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
3-2 | 5-3 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Penya Encarnada
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 18/10 | CE Casa de Portugal Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 11/10 | SC Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | UE Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Club d'Escaldes win (78%). Probabilities: Inter Club d'Escaldes 78%, draw 15%, Penya Encarnada 7%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Inter Club d'Escaldes 2.65 · Penya Encarnada 0.71), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.