Football · Andorra Premier Division · 05/09, 20:30
Prediction: CE Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
CE Carroi0.65
FC Santa Coloma2.43
1X2
CE Carroi
Draw
FC Santa Coloma
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CE Carroi
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
FC Santa Coloma
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CE Carroi
1–5
FC Santa Coloma
(6 last)
- CE Carroi0-2FC Santa Coloma
- CE Carroi2-1FC Santa Coloma
- FC Santa Coloma7-0CE Carroi
- FC Santa Coloma4-0CE Carroi
- FC Santa Coloma2-1CE Carroi
- CE Carroi0-2FC Santa Coloma
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CE Carroi 1430 · FC Santa Coloma 1508
| CE Carroi | Draw | FC Santa Coloma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 17% | 76% |
| Market | 8% | 15% | 77% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Santa Coloma (rating 1430 vs 1508).
- H2H favours FC Santa Coloma: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CE Carroi | FC Santa Coloma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 2 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 11/67/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.4 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.1 | 6.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CE Carroi 1–0–5 FC Santa Coloma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Andorra Premier Division | CE Carroi | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FC Santa Coloma |
| 17/12/25 Andorra Premier Division | CE Carroi | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Santa Coloma |
| 14/12/25 Andorra Premier Division | FC Santa Coloma | 7-0 HT 3-0 | CE Carroi |
| 14/04/24 Andorra Premier Division | FC Santa Coloma | 4-0 HT 0-0 | CE Carroi |
| 03/12/23 Andorra Premier Division | FC Santa Coloma | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CE Carroi |
| 01/10/23 Andorra Premier Division | CE Carroi | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Santa Coloma |
Standings · Andorra Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC d'Escaldes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CE Carroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CE Casa de Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CF Esperança d'Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Ordino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Penya Encarnada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Santa Coloma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Escaldes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CE Carroi | FC Santa Coloma |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| AC d'Escaldes | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Rangers | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Ordino | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| UE Santa Coloma | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| CF Esperança d'Andorra | 1-4 L | 4-0 W |
| Penya Encarnada | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Santa Coloma (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CE Carroi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 11/04 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | UE Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 08/03 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 01/03 | FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 22/02 | Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 15/02 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 08/02 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
FC Santa Coloma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | UE Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 21/03 | Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/03 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 01/03 | CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 22/02 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 15/02 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/02 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CE Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Santa Coloma win (77%). Probabilities: CE Carroi 8%, draw 16%, FC Santa Coloma 77%.
How many goals are expected in CE Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma?
The model expects 3.08 goals (CE Carroi 0.65 · FC Santa Coloma 2.43), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CE Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.