Football · Egypt Division 1 · 09/09, 19:00
Prediction: Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs Al Ahly Cairo
Team pages: Al Moqawloon Al Arab · Al Ahly Cairo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Al Moqawloon Al Arab1.24
Al Ahly Cairo1.41
1X2
Al Moqawloon Al Arab
Draw
Al Ahly Cairo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Moqawloon Al Arab
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Al Ahly Cairo
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Moqawloon Al Arab
1–5
Al Ahly Cairo
(6 last)
- Al Moqawloon Al Arab1-3Al Ahly Cairo
- Al Ahly Cairo0-3Al Moqawloon Al Arab
- Al Ahly Cairo4-0Al Moqawloon Al Arab
- Al Moqawloon Al Arab1-2Al Ahly Cairo
- Al Moqawloon Al Arab1-4Al Ahly Cairo
- Al Ahly Cairo2-1Al Moqawloon Al Arab
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ahly Cairo (rating 1511 vs 1591).
- H2H favours Al Ahly Cairo: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Moqawloon Al Arab | Al Ahly Cairo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.1 | 2.1 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Moqawloon Al Arab 1–0–5 Al Ahly Cairo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 Egypt Division 1 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Al Ahly Cairo |
| 30/12/25 Egypt League Cup | Al Ahly Cairo | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab |
| 04/08/24 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ahly Cairo | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab |
| 04/11/23 Egypt Division 1 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Al Ahly Cairo |
| 16/07/23 Egypt Division 1 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Al Ahly Cairo |
| 07/03/23 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ahly Cairo | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Al Ahly Cairo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | El Zamalek | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | El Masry | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Talaea El Geish | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Al Qanah | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Modern Sport FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | ZED FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Abo Qir Semad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | National Bank | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | El Gounah | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 | Asyut Petroleum | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 17 | Petrojet | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | Smouha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Enppi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | Al Ahly Cairo |
|---|---|---|
| El Masry | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Talaea El Geish | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Ahly Cairo (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Moqawloon Al Arab
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | El Gounah Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/08 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | El Gounah Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Pharco FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 28/04 | Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Al Ahly Cairo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | ZED FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 09/03 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs Al Ahly Cairo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ahly Cairo win (40%). Probabilities: Al Moqawloon Al Arab 32%, draw 28%, Al Ahly Cairo 40%.
How many goals are expected in Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs Al Ahly Cairo?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Al Moqawloon Al Arab 1.24 · Al Ahly Cairo 1.41), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs Al Ahly Cairo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.