Football · Egypt Division 1 · 15/09, 19:00
Prediction: El Masry vs Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
Team pages: El Masry · Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
El Masry1.22
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary0.81
1X2
El Masry
Draw
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
El Masry
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
El Masry
4–1–1
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
(6 last)
- Al Ittihad Al Sakandary0-0El Masry
- El Masry3-1Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
- Al Ittihad Al Sakandary1-2El Masry
- El Masry2-0Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
- El Masry2-3Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
- Al Ittihad Al Sakandary1-2El Masry
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · El Masry 1500 · Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 1514
| El Masry | Draw | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 32% | 23% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours El Masry: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Masry | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Masry 4–1–1 Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/25 Egypt League Cup | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 0-0 HT 0-0 | El Masry |
| 08/08/25 Egypt Division 1 | El Masry | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary |
| 08/02/25 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1-2 HT 0-1 | El Masry |
| 18/08/24 Egypt Division 1 | El Masry | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary |
| 04/04/24 Egypt Division 1 | El Masry | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary |
| 22/05/23 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1-2 HT 1-1 | El Masry |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | El Zamalek | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Cairo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Modern Sport FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Talaea El Geish | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Qanah | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | El Masry | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | National Bank | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Wadi Degla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Enppi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | ZED FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Abo Qir Semad | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | El Gounah | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Asyut Petroleum | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 19 | Smouha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Masry | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary |
|---|---|---|
| Petrojet | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Ceramica Cleopatra | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| El Zamalek | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Masry
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 05/04 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/09 | Abo Qir Semad Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/08 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Ismaily SC Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 04/05 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Masry vs Al Ittihad Al Sakandary?
According to our model, the most likely result is a El Masry win (45%). Probabilities: El Masry 45%, draw 32%, Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 23%.
How many goals are expected in El Masry vs Al Ittihad Al Sakandary?
The model expects 2.03 goals (El Masry 1.22 · Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 0.81), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in El Masry vs Al Ittihad Al Sakandary?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.