Football · Egypt Division 1 · 16/09, 19:00
Prediction: Ghazl El Mahallah vs El Zamalek
Team pages: Ghazl El Mahallah · El Zamalek
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Ghazl El Mahallah0.68
El Zamalek1.49
1X2
Ghazl El Mahallah
Draw
El Zamalek
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Ghazl El Mahallah
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
El Zamalek
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ghazl El Mahallah
2–1–3
El Zamalek
(6 last)
- El Zamalek1-1Ghazl El Mahallah
- Ghazl El Mahallah0-4El Zamalek
- El Zamalek2-0Ghazl El Mahallah
- Ghazl El Mahallah2-1El Zamalek
- Ghazl El Mahallah0-2El Zamalek
- El Zamalek0-3Ghazl El Mahallah
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ghazl El Mahallah 1461 · El Zamalek 1584
| Ghazl El Mahallah | Draw | El Zamalek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 29% | 55% |
| Market | 16% | 28% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours El Zamalek (rating 1461 vs 1584).
- H2H favours El Zamalek: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ghazl El Mahallah | El Zamalek | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ghazl El Mahallah 2–1–3 El Zamalek
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Egypt Division 1 | El Zamalek | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ghazl El Mahallah |
| 02/12/24 Egypt Division 1 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 0-4 HT 0-2 | El Zamalek |
| 27/06/23 Egypt Division 1 | El Zamalek | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ghazl El Mahallah |
| 24/01/23 Egypt Division 1 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 2-1 HT 2-0 | El Zamalek |
| 16/07/22 Egypt Division 1 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 0-2 HT 0-0 | El Zamalek |
| 22/01/22 Egypt Cup | El Zamalek | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Ghazl El Mahallah |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | El Zamalek | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Cairo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Modern Sport FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Talaea El Geish | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Qanah | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | El Masry | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | National Bank | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Wadi Degla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Enppi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | ZED FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Abo Qir Semad | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | El Gounah | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Asyut Petroleum | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 19 | Smouha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ghazl El Mahallah | El Zamalek |
|---|---|---|
| National Bank | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Enppi | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Pyramids FC | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: El Zamalek (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ghazl El Mahallah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 01/09 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/08 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | ZED FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 07/05 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Ismaily SC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
El Zamalek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Abo Qir Semad Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/08 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/08 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 20/05 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 6 | D |
| 23/04 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ghazl El Mahallah vs El Zamalek?
According to our model, the most likely result is an El Zamalek win (56%). Probabilities: Ghazl El Mahallah 16%, draw 28%, El Zamalek 56%.
How many goals are expected in Ghazl El Mahallah vs El Zamalek?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Ghazl El Mahallah 0.68 · El Zamalek 1.49), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ghazl El Mahallah vs El Zamalek?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.