Football · Egypt Division 1 · 14/09, 16:00
Prediction: Talaea El Geish vs Smouha
Team pages: Talaea El Geish · Smouha
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.66Total
Talaea El Geish0.88
Smouha0.79
1X2
Talaea El Geish
Draw
Smouha
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Talaea El Geish
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Smouha
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Talaea El Geish
1–4–1
Smouha
(6 last)
- Smouha1-1Talaea El Geish
- Smouha0-0Talaea El Geish
- Talaea El Geish0-0Smouha
- Talaea El Geish2-2Smouha
- Smouha1-0Talaea El Geish
- Talaea El Geish2-0Smouha
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Talaea El Geish 1495 · Smouha 1394
| Talaea El Geish | Draw | Smouha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 37% | 29% |
| Market | 36% | 34% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.66 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Talaea El Geish (rating 1495 vs 1394).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Talaea El Geish | Smouha | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Talaea El Geish 1–4–1 Smouha
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/25 Egypt Division 1 | Smouha | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Talaea El Geish |
| 06/05/25 Egypt Division 1 | Smouha | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Talaea El Geish |
| 23/11/24 Egypt Division 1 | Talaea El Geish | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Smouha |
| 22/06/24 Egypt Division 1 | Talaea El Geish | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Smouha |
| 27/12/23 Egypt Division 1 | Smouha | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Talaea El Geish |
| 03/06/23 Egypt Division 1 | Talaea El Geish | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Smouha |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | El Zamalek | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Cairo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Modern Sport FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Talaea El Geish | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Qanah | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | El Masry | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | National Bank | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Wadi Degla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Enppi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | ZED FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Abo Qir Semad | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | El Gounah | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Asyut Petroleum | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 19 | Smouha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Talaea El Geish
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Al Qanah Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/09 | ZED FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/08 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | El Gounah Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Pharco FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Smouha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/09 | Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/08 | Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/04 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Talaea El Geish vs Smouha?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Talaea El Geish win (35%). Probabilities: Talaea El Geish 35%, draw 35%, Smouha 30%.
How many goals are expected in Talaea El Geish vs Smouha?
The model expects 1.66 goals (Talaea El Geish 0.88 · Smouha 0.79), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Talaea El Geish vs Smouha?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.