Football · Argentina Cup · 20/08, 00:15

Prediction: Racing Club vs Belgrano

Team pages: Racing Club · Belgrano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Racing Club1.29
Belgrano1.08
1X2
41% 29% 30%
Racing Club Draw Belgrano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWDDWWWDLL
Belgrano 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDWDWLDW
Head-to-head
Racing Club 5–1–0 Belgrano (6 last)
  • Belgrano1-2Racing Club
  • Belgrano0-1Racing Club
  • Racing Club4-0Belgrano
  • Belgrano4-4Racing Club
  • Belgrano0-4Racing Club
  • Racing Club4-1Belgrano
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing Club 1545 · Belgrano 1564
Racing ClubDrawBelgrano
Our model40%30%30%
Market41%28%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Racing Club: 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Racing ClubBelgrano
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.21.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.21.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.44.4 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club 510 Belgrano

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
Argentina Liga Profesional
Belgrano1-2
HT 0-1
Racing Club
21/07/25
Argentina Liga Profesional
Belgrano0-1
HT 0-0
Racing Club
30/01/25
Argentina Liga Profesional
Racing Club4-0
HT 1-0
Belgrano
12/05/24
Argentina Liga Profesional
Belgrano4-4
HT 1-3
Racing Club
17/04/24
Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional
Belgrano0-4
HT 0-2
Racing Club
28/11/23
Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional
Racing Club4-1
HT 2-0
Belgrano

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRacing ClubBelgrano
Argentinos Jrs 1-2 L 0-1 L
CA Tigre 1-3 L 0-0 D
Rosario Central 0-0 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Belgrano (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Club

LWDDWWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 Argentinos Jrs
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-1 1-2 410 L
02/08 CA Tigre
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-2 1-3 65 L
29/07 Rosario Central
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 28 D
25/07 Gimnasia LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-1 2-1 44 W
16/07 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina Cup
2-0 4-1 24 W
28/05 Independiente Petrolero
Copa Sudamericana
1-0 2-0 93 W
22/05 Caracas
Copa Sudamericana
2-1 2-2 54 D
13/05 Rosario Central
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 1-1 28 D
10/05 Estudiantes LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-0 47 W
07/05 Botafogo
Copa Sudamericana
0-1 1-2 47 L

Belgrano

WWWDWDWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Banfield
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 2-0 14 W
06/08 CA Tigre
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 44 D
01/08 Argentinos Jrs
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 0-1 23 L
24/07 Rosario Central
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 2-1 62 W
30/05 Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentina Cup
1-1 2-2 47 D
24/05 River Plate
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-1 3-2 44 W
17/05 Argentinos Jrs
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 1-1 310 D
13/05 Union Santa Fe
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 2-0 44 W
09/05 CA Talleres de Córdoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-0 39 W
03/05 Sarmiento
Argentina Liga Profesional
2-0 4-0 32 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Club vs Belgrano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club win (41%). Probabilities: Racing Club 41%, draw 29%, Belgrano 30%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Club vs Belgrano?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Racing Club 1.29 · Belgrano 1.08), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Club vs Belgrano?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.