Prediction: Banfield vs Ferrocarril Midland
Team pages: Banfield · Ferrocarril Midland
| Banfield | Draw | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 30% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferrocarril Midland (rating 1454 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.2 | 2.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/04 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 07/04 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 21/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield vs Ferrocarril Midland?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Banfield win (53%). Probabilities: Banfield 53%, draw 27%, Ferrocarril Midland 20%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Banfield 1.41 · Ferrocarril Midland 0.75), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.