Football · Argentina Cup · 18/08, 22:00

Prediction: Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia LP

Team pages: Deportivo Riestra · Gimnasia LP

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
Deportivo Riestra0.9
Gimnasia LP1.09
1X2
29% 33% 39%
Deportivo Riestra Draw Gimnasia LP
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Riestra 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLDDWLLW
Gimnasia LP 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLLWWW
Head-to-head
Deportivo Riestra 1–2–1 Gimnasia LP (4 last)
  • Deportivo Riestra1-0Gimnasia LP
  • Gimnasia LP1-1Deportivo Riestra
  • Gimnasia LP0-0Deportivo Riestra
  • Gimnasia LP2-1Deportivo Riestra
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Riestra 1485 · Gimnasia LP 1561
Deportivo RiestraDrawGimnasia LP
Our model28%33%38%
Market29%32%39%
Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia LP (rating 1485 vs 1561).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo RiestraGimnasia LP
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.31.4 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.51.5 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.15.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Riestra 121 Gimnasia LP

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/09/25
Argentina Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra1-0
HT 0-0
Gimnasia LP
10/03/25
Argentina Liga Profesional
Gimnasia LP1-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Riestra
20/09/24
Argentina Liga Profesional
Gimnasia LP0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Riestra
31/03/24
Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional
Gimnasia LP2-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Riestra

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Riestra

WDLLDDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Estudiantes LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 2-0 27 W
02/08 Barracas Central
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-1 54 L
29/07 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-2 1-2 36 L
27/07 Boca Juniors
Argentina Liga Profesional
3-0 3-0 23 W
17/07 San Lorenzo
Argentina Cup
0-1 1-1 27 D
27/05 Palestino
Copa Sudamericana
1-1 1-1 75 D
20/05 Torque
Copa Sudamericana
0-2 1-4 86 L
06/05 Gremio
Copa Sudamericana
0-1 0-3 64 L
02/05 Lanus
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 75 D
30/04 Torque
Copa Sudamericana
2-1 2-1 37 W

Gimnasia LP

WWWWWLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Barracas Central
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 2-0 27 W
02/08 Aldosivi
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 2-1 46 W
30/07 River Plate
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-0 33 W
25/07 Racing Club
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-1 1-2 34 L
14/05 River Plate
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 0-2 55 L
11/05 Velez Sarsfield
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 1-0 08 W
03/05 Argentinos Jrs
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 2-0 39 W
26/04 Belgrano
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 1-0 65 W
23/04 Acassuso
Argentina Cup
0-0 3-0 54 W
18/04 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 1-0 16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia LP?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gimnasia LP win (39%). Probabilities: Deportivo Riestra 29%, draw 33%, Gimnasia LP 39%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia LP?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Deportivo Riestra 0.9 · Gimnasia LP 1.09), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia LP?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.