Prediction: Bidhannagar MSA vs Mohun Bagan SG II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Bidhannagar MSA0.74
Mohun Bagan SG II2.66
1X2
8% 14% 78%
Bidhannagar MSA Draw Mohun Bagan SG II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Bidhannagar MSA 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLLDLL
Mohun Bagan SG II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWWDWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bidhannagar MSA 1449 · Mohun Bagan SG II 1529
Bidhannagar MSADrawMohun Bagan SG II
Our model7%15%77%
Market8%14%78%
Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohun Bagan SG II (rating 1449 vs 1529).
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bidhannagar MSAMohun Bagan SG II
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.12.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.52.9 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.13.9 / 0.2

Standings · India Calcutta Football League · Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bhawanipore FC 6510 10216
2 East Bengal Club II 5410 17513
3 Calcutta Customs 7322 13811
4 Kidderpore SC 7250 11611
5 Mohun Bagan SG II 6312 10410
6 BSS Sporting Club 5221 1188
7 United Kolkata SC 6222 988
8 Kalighat MS 7214 10107
9 Railways FC 7214 6117
10 Patha Chakra 7205 7236
11 George Telegraph FC 6114 3104
12 Bidhannagar MSA 5014 3151
13 Sribhumi FC 0000 000

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBidhannagar MSAMohun Bagan SG II
BSS Sporting Club 1-4 L 5-2 W
Kidderpore SC 0-4 L 1-1 D
Patha Chakra 0-1 L 4-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Mohun Bagan SG II (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bidhannagar MSA

WWWWLLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/08 BSS Sporting Club
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 1-4 61 L
29/07 Kidderpore SC
India Calcutta Football League
0-1 0-4 17 L
25/07 Railways FC
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 1-1 65 D
19/07 Patha Chakra
India Calcutta Football League
0-1 0-1 22 L
15/07 East Bengal Club II
India Calcutta Football League
1-4 1-5 34 L
19/10 Coal India
India Calcutta First Division
0-0 0-1 39 L
16/10 Calcutta Port Trust
India Calcutta First Division
1-0 1-0 42 W
10/10 Uttarpalli Milan Sangha
India Calcutta First Division
1-0 3-2 43 W
10/10 Uttarpalli MS
India Calcutta First Division
1-0 3-2 43 W
19/09 Adamas United SA
India Calcutta First Division
0-1 2-1 26 W

Mohun Bagan SG II

DWLWWDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Bhawanipore FC
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 1-2 25 L
01/08 Calcutta Customs
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 0-1 32 L
28/07 United Kolkata SC
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 1-0 98 W
19/07 Kalighat MS
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 3-0 150 W
16/07 Kidderpore SC
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 1-1 126 D
13/07 Patha Chakra
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 4-0 113 W
30/08 Patha Chakra
India Calcutta Football League
3-1 5-2 43 W
27/08 Calcutta Customs
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 0-1 76 L
24/08 BSS Sporting Club
India Calcutta Football League
2-0 5-2 41 W
21/08 Suruchi Sangha
India Calcutta Football League
0-1 1-1 57 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bidhannagar MSA vs Mohun Bagan SG II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mohun Bagan SG II win (78%). Probabilities: Bidhannagar MSA 8%, draw 14%, Mohun Bagan SG II 78%.

How many goals are expected in Bidhannagar MSA vs Mohun Bagan SG II?

The model expects 3.4 goals (Bidhannagar MSA 0.74 · Mohun Bagan SG II 2.66), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bidhannagar MSA vs Mohun Bagan SG II?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.