Football · India Calcutta Football League · 21/08, 11:30

Prediction: United SC vs Mohammedan SC Reserves

Team pages: United SC · Mohammedan SC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

United SC1.04

Mohammedan SC Reserves1.3

1X2

29% 29% 42%

United SC Draw Mohammedan SC Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

United SC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDLDLWWW

Mohammedan SC Reserves 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWDWWD

Head-to-head

United SC 2–1 Mohammedan SC Reserves (3 last)

United SC3-0Mohammedan SC Reserves
United SC3-1Mohammedan SC Reserves
Mohammedan SC Reserves1-0United SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · United SC 1523 · Mohammedan SC Reserves 1567

	United SC	Draw	Mohammedan SC Reserves
Our model	28%	30%	41%
Market	30%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohammedan SC Reserves (rating 1523 vs 1567).
H2H favours United SC: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	United SC	Mohammedan SC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	2.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.7	3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.25

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:39 +2’	3.00	3.25	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · United SC 2–0–1 Mohammedan SC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/07/25 India Calcutta Football League	United SC	3-0 HT 0-0	Mohammedan SC Reserves
20/07/24 India Calcutta Football League	United SC	3-1 HT 0-0	Mohammedan SC Reserves
15/07/23 India Calcutta Football League	Mohammedan SC Reserves	1-0 HT 0-0	United SC

Standings · India Calcutta Football League · Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coal India	8	4	3	1	14	6	15
2	Police AC	7	4	3	0	10	3	15
3	Mohammedan SC Reserves	5	4	1	0	11	3	13
4	Measurers Club	6	2	4	0	11	7	10
5	United SC	6	3	1	2	6	5	10
6	Suruchi Sangha	7	2	2	3	8	9	8
7	Calcutta Police Club	7	2	2	3	4	7	8
8	Aryan FC	7	1	4	2	6	5	7
9	Wari AC	7	1	3	3	6	11	6
10	Peerless SC	5	1	2	2	3	6	5
11	Rainbow AC	7	1	1	5	8	17	4
12	Kalighat Sports Lovers	6	0	2	4	1	9	2
13	Diamond Harbour FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	United SC	Mohammedan SC Reserves
Calcutta Police Club	2-0 W	2-0 W
Rainbow AC	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Mohammedan SC Reserves (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

United SC

WDWDLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Calcutta Police Club India Calcutta Football League	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
31/07	Rainbow AC India Calcutta Football League	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
26/07	Peerless SC India Calcutta Football League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
23/07	Measurers Club India Calcutta Football League	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
20/07	Kalighat Sports Lovers India Calcutta Football League	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
14/07	Coal India India Calcutta Football League	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
15/05	Delhi FA India I-League 2nd Division	0-0	1-1	14	1	D
09/05	Sudeva Delhi FC India I-League 2nd Division	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
02/05	Karbi Anglong Morning Star FC India I-League 2nd Division	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
26/04	Neroca FC India I-League 2nd Division	1-0	1-0	4	3	W

Mohammedan SC Reserves

LWDWWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Police AC India Calcutta Football League	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Calcutta Police Club India Calcutta Football League	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
30/07	Suruchi Sangha India Calcutta Football League	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
23/07	Wari AC India Calcutta Football League	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
17/07	Aryan FC India Calcutta Football League	2-1	3-1	8	2	W
14/07	Rainbow AC India Calcutta Football League	0-1	3-1	4	6	W
13/09	Railways FC India Calcutta Football League	2-0	6-1	–	–	W
05/09	United Kolkata SC India Calcutta Football League	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
28/08	Aryan FC India Calcutta Football League	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
22/08	Bhawanipore FC India Calcutta Football League	0-1	1-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in United SC vs Mohammedan SC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mohammedan SC Reserves win (42%). Probabilities: United SC 29%, draw 29%, Mohammedan SC Reserves 42%.

How many goals are expected in United SC vs Mohammedan SC Reserves?

The model expects 2.35 goals (United SC 1.04 · Mohammedan SC Reserves 1.3), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in United SC vs Mohammedan SC Reserves?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.