Football · India Calcutta Football League · 23/08, 11:30

Prediction: BSS Sporting Club vs United Kolkata SC

Team pages: BSS Sporting Club · United Kolkata SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

BSS Sporting Club1.35

United Kolkata SC2.1

1X2

23% 23% 54%

BSS Sporting Club Draw United Kolkata SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

BSS Sporting Club 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDWDWLWL

United Kolkata SC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLDDWD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BSS Sporting Club 1504 · United Kolkata SC 1519

	BSS Sporting Club	Draw	United Kolkata SC
Our model	24%	23%	54%
Market	23%	23%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BSS Sporting Club	United Kolkata SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	1.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/56/33%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.6	3.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.90

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:03 +4’	3.90	3.90	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · India Calcutta Football League · Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bhawanipore FC	9	6	3	0	16	5	21
2	United Kolkata SC	9	4	3	2	20	11	15
3	East Bengal Club II	6	4	2	0	18	6	14
4	Calcutta Customs	8	4	2	2	16	8	14
5	Mohun Bagan SG II	7	4	1	2	13	4	13
6	Kidderpore SC	9	2	6	1	13	11	12
7	BSS Sporting Club	8	3	2	3	16	15	11
8	Railways FC	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
9	Kalighat MS	8	3	1	4	14	12	10
10	Patha Chakra	9	2	1	6	9	29	7
11	George Telegraph FC	8	1	1	6	6	21	4
12	Bidhannagar MSA	8	0	2	6	5	23	2
13	Sribhumi FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BSS Sporting Club	United Kolkata SC
Bhawanipore FC	0-3 L	0-4 L
Kidderpore SC	5-2 W	1-1 D
Railways FC	0-2 L	3-1 W
Bidhannagar MSA	4-1 W	2-2 D
George Telegraph FC	3-1 W	7-1 W
Calcutta Customs	1-1 D	5-0 W
Mohun Bagan SG II	2-5 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: United Kolkata SC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BSS Sporting Club

LWDDWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Bhawanipore FC India Calcutta Football League	0-2	0-3	6	2	L
13/08	Kidderpore SC India Calcutta Football League	2-2	5-2	3	7	W
10/08	Railways FC India Calcutta Football League	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
06/08	Bidhannagar MSA India Calcutta Football League	0-0	4-1	7	1	W
03/08	East Bengal Club II India Calcutta Football League	2-1	3-3	1	3	D
16/07	George Telegraph FC India Calcutta Football League	1-1	3-1	5	1	W
13/07	Calcutta Customs India Calcutta Football League	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
31/08	Railways FC India Calcutta Football League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
28/08	Kalighat Sports Lovers India Calcutta Football League	–	1-0	–	–	W
24/08	Mohun Bagan SG II India Calcutta Football League	0-2	2-5	0	1	L

United Kolkata SC

WLWWLLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Bidhannagar MSA India Calcutta Football League	1-1	2-2	12	2	D
13/08	George Telegraph FC India Calcutta Football League	5-1	7-1	9	3	W
07/08	Kidderpore SC India Calcutta Football League	1-0	1-1	14	3	D
01/08	Kalighat MS India Calcutta Football League	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
28/07	Mohun Bagan SG II India Calcutta Football League	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
22/07	Bhawanipore FC India Calcutta Football League	0-1	0-4	3	6	L
16/07	Patha Chakra India Calcutta Football League	3-0	4-0	3	3	W
13/07	Railways FC India Calcutta Football League	1-0	3-1	3	2	W
22/09	Suruchi Sangha India Calcutta Football League	0-2	0-3	6	8	L
18/09	Calcutta Customs India Calcutta Football League	2-0	5-0	0	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BSS Sporting Club vs United Kolkata SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an United Kolkata SC win (54%). Probabilities: BSS Sporting Club 23%, draw 23%, United Kolkata SC 54%.

How many goals are expected in BSS Sporting Club vs United Kolkata SC?

The model expects 3.45 goals (BSS Sporting Club 1.35 · United Kolkata SC 2.1), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in BSS Sporting Club vs United Kolkata SC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.