Football · Oman League · 05/09, 15:45

Prediction: Saham vs Bahla

Team pages: Saham · Bahla

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Saham1.16
Bahla1.33
1X2
32% 29% 39%
Saham Draw Bahla
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Saham 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLLDWDLL
Bahla 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWLDDDLWWL
Head-to-head
Saham 1–3–2 Bahla (6 last)
  • Bahla4-1Saham
  • Saham0-2Bahla
  • Bahla1-2Saham
  • Saham1-1Bahla
  • Saham0-0Bahla
  • Saham1-1Bahla
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saham 1409 · Bahla 1493
SahamDrawBahla
Our model31%30%39%
Market32%29%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bahla (rating 1409 vs 1493).
  • H2H favours Bahla: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SahamBahla
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.51.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)38/25/38%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.51.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 03.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Saham 132 Bahla

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/02/26
Oman League
Bahla4-1
HT 2-1
Saham
18/08/25
Oman League
Saham0-2
HT 0-0
Bahla
02/02/25
Oman League
Bahla1-2
HT 1-1
Saham
06/11/24
Oman League
Saham1-1
HT 0-1
Bahla
07/04/22
Oman League
Saham0-0
HT 0-0
Bahla
17/12/21
Oman Federation Cup
Saham1-1
HT 0-1
Bahla

Standings · Oman League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Seeb 1100 313
2 Al-Nasr Salalah 1100 203
2 Oman FC 1100 203
4 Al Shabab Seeb 1100 323
5 Al-Nahda 1100 103
5 Samail 1100 103
7 Ibri Club 1010 001
7 Sohar Club 1010 001
9 Sur SC 1001 230
10 Al Musannah 1001 010
10 Saham 1001 010
12 Bahla 1001 130
13 Dhofar 1001 020
13 Fanja 1001 020

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSahamBahla
Samail 0-1 L 1-0 W
Al-Nasr Salalah 0-2 L 1-3 L
Sohar Club 2-2 D 1-1 D
Oman FC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Al Khaburah 0-0 D 0-0 D
Al Shabab Seeb 0-3 L 4-1 W
Ibri Club 1-2 L 0-1 L
Al Seeb 0-2 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 5 L 2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bahla (2 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saham

DLLLLDWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Samail
Oman League
0-1 0-1 74 L
23/05 Al-Nasr Salalah
Oman League
0-2 L
18/05 Sohar Club
Oman League
1-0 2-2 29 D
13/05 Oman FC
Oman League
1-0 1-0 32 W
04/05 Al Khaburah
Oman League
0-0 0-0 63 D
30/04 Al Shabab Seeb
Oman League
0-2 0-3 61 L
26/04 Ibri Club
Oman League
1-1 1-2 15 L
10/04 Al Seeb
Oman League
0-1 0-2 63 L
04/04 Dhofar
Oman League
0-1 L
16/03 Al Rustaq
Oman League
1-0 2-2 55 D

Bahla

LWLDDDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Al Seeb
Oman League
1-2 1-3 50 L
23/05 Samail
Oman League
1-0 1-0 46 W
18/05 Al-Nahda
Oman League
1-1 2-1 44 W
13/05 Al-Nasr Salalah
Oman League
1-1 1-3 55 L
02/05 Sohar Club
Oman League
1-1 1-1 77 D
27/04 Oman FC
Oman League
0-1 1-1 63 D
18/04 Al Khaburah
Oman League
0-0 0-0 64 D
11/04 Ibri Club
Oman League
0-1 0-1 74 L
04/04 Al Shabab Seeb
Oman League
1-0 4-1 43 W
17/03 Al Seeb
Oman League
0-2 0-2 24 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saham vs Bahla?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bahla win (39%). Probabilities: Saham 32%, draw 29%, Bahla 39%.

How many goals are expected in Saham vs Bahla?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Saham 1.16 · Bahla 1.33), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Saham vs Bahla?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.