Football · Oman League · 11/09, 15:30

Prediction: Sur SC vs Bahla

Team pages: Sur SC · Bahla

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Sur SC1.2
Bahla1.37
1X2
31% 30% 39%
Sur SC Draw Bahla
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sur SC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWWWWDLL
Bahla 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLDDDLWWLL
Head-to-head
Sur SC 2–4 Bahla (6 last)
  • Sur SC2-1Bahla
  • Bahla1-2Sur SC
  • Bahla2-0Sur SC
  • Bahla2-0Sur SC
  • Sur SC0-3Bahla
  • Bahla3-0Sur SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sur SC 1527 · Bahla 1475
Sur SCDrawBahla
Our model31%29%40%
Market31%30%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sur SC (rating 1527 vs 1475).
  • H2H favours Bahla: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sur SCBahla
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.51.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 42.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.23.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sur SC 204 Bahla

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
Oman League
Sur SC2-1
HT 1-0
Bahla
28/12/25
Oman Sultans Cup
Bahla1-2
HT 1-0
Sur SC
14/09/25
Oman League
Bahla2-0
HT 1-0
Sur SC
23/08/25
Oman Federation Cup
Bahla2-0
HT 0-0
Sur SC
22/01/25
Oman League
Sur SC0-3
HT 0-2
Bahla
06/10/24
Oman League
Bahla3-0
HT 0-0
Sur SC

Standings · Oman League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Seeb 3210 627
2 Al-Nahda 3210 537
3 Al-Nasr Salalah 2200 416
4 Oman FC 2200 306
5 Saham 3201 326
6 Ibri Club 3111 524
7 Sohar Club 2110 104
8 Samail 3111 144
9 Al Shabab Seeb 2101 553
10 Fanja 3012 031
11 Al Musannah 2002 020
12 Sur SC 2002 250
13 Bahla 2002 140
13 Dhofar 2002 140

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSur SCBahla
Al Seeb 0-2 L 1-3 L
Al Shabab Seeb 2-3 L 4-1 W
Sohar Club 3-3 D 1-1 D
Oman FC 3-2 W 1-1 D
Al Khaburah 2-1 W 0-0 D
Ibri Club 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sur SC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sur SC

DWLWWWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Al Seeb
Oman League
0-1 0-2 25 L
31/08 Al Shabab Seeb
Oman League
1-1 2-3 40 L
23/05 Sohar Club
Oman League
0-2 3-3 33 D
18/05 Oman FC
Oman League
2-1 3-2 11 W
12/05 Al Khaburah
Oman League
1-0 2-1 51 W
08/05 Al Shabab Seeb
Oman League
0-0 2-0 23 W
03/05 Ibri Club
Oman League
1-1 2-1 34 W
18/04 Al Seeb
Oman League
0-2 1-2 35 L
12/04 Dhofar
Oman League
0-0 1-0 56 W
06/04 Al Rustaq
Oman League
1-1 1-1 123 D

Bahla

WLDDDLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Saham
Oman League
0-0 0-1 41 L
30/08 Al Seeb
Oman League
1-2 1-3 50 L
23/05 Samail
Oman League
1-0 1-0 46 W
18/05 Al-Nahda
Oman League
1-1 2-1 44 W
13/05 Al-Nasr Salalah
Oman League
1-1 1-3 55 L
02/05 Sohar Club
Oman League
1-1 1-1 77 D
27/04 Oman FC
Oman League
0-1 1-1 63 D
18/04 Al Khaburah
Oman League
0-0 0-0 64 D
11/04 Ibri Club
Oman League
0-1 0-1 74 L
04/04 Al Shabab Seeb
Oman League
1-0 4-1 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sur SC vs Bahla?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bahla win (39%). Probabilities: Sur SC 31%, draw 30%, Bahla 39%.

How many goals are expected in Sur SC vs Bahla?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Sur SC 1.2 · Bahla 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sur SC vs Bahla?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.