Football · Oman League · 10/09, 16:55

Prediction: Al-Nahda vs Al Seeb

Team pages: Al-Nahda · Al Seeb

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

Al-Nahda1.02

Al Seeb1.32

1X2

28% 30% 42%

Al-Nahda Draw Al Seeb

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Al-Nahda 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLLLWW

Al Seeb 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Al-Nahda 1–1–4 Al Seeb (6 last)

Al-Nahda0-4Al Seeb
Al-Nahda2-0Al Seeb
Al Seeb2-1Al-Nahda
Al Seeb1-0Al-Nahda
Al Seeb2-0Al-Nahda
Al-Nahda1-1Al Seeb

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al-Nahda 1531 · Al Seeb 1627

	Al-Nahda	Draw	Al Seeb
Our model	28%	30%	42%
Market	28%	30%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Seeb (rating 1531 vs 1627).
H2H favours Al Seeb: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al-Nahda	Al Seeb
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	2.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	1.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.00

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 16:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.81 ★
X	3.10 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00
2	1.91 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.19

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:30 +20’	3.75	3.10	1.91
18:16 +5’	3.20▼	3.00▼	2.15▲
14:14 +5’	2.90▼	2.90▼	2.35▲
16:21 +1’	3.25▲	3.00▲	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:18 +3’	4.12	2.50	2.16
05:35 +42’	4.13▲	2.51▲	2.15▼
11:02 +91’	4.09▼	2.51	2.17▲
14:15 +3’	3.33▼	2.47▼	2.50▲
16:11 +11’	3.81▲	2.69▲	2.19▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Nahda 1–1–4 Al Seeb

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Oman League	Al-Nahda	0-4 HT 0-2	Al Seeb
29/01/26 Oman Sultans Cup	Al-Nahda	2-0 HT 1-0	Al Seeb
24/01/26 Oman League	Al Seeb	2-1 HT 0-1	Al-Nahda
20/01/26 Oman Sultans Cup	Al Seeb	1-0 HT 1-0	Al-Nahda
16/04/25 Oman League	Al Seeb	2-0 HT 1-0	Al-Nahda
09/01/25 Oman League	Al-Nahda	1-1	Al Seeb

Standings · Oman League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Seeb	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
2	Al-Nahda	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
3	Al-Nasr Salalah	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
4	Oman FC	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
5	Saham	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
6	Ibri Club	3	1	1	1	5	2	4
7	Sohar Club	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
8	Samail	3	1	1	1	1	4	4
9	Al Shabab Seeb	2	1	0	1	5	5	3
10	Fanja	3	0	1	2	0	3	1
11	Al Musannah	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
12	Sur SC	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
13	Bahla	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
13	Dhofar	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al-Nahda	Al Seeb
Al Shabab Seeb	3-2 W	0-0 D
Bahla	1-2 L	3-1 W
Samail	1-0 W	2-1 W
Dhofar	1-0 W	2-1 W
Al Rustaq	0-0 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al Seeb (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al-Nahda

DWWWWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Al Shabab Seeb Oman League	2-0	3-2	3	5	W
30/08	Al Musannah Oman League	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
23/05	Al Shabab Seeb Oman League	1-2	2-3	4	4	L
18/05	Bahla Oman League	1-1	1-2	8	4	L
14/05	Al Seeb Oman League	0-2	0-4	0	6	L
04/05	Al-Nasr Salalah Oman League	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
30/04	Samail Oman League	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
26/04	Dhofar Oman League	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
17/04	Sohar Club Oman League	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
11/04	Al Rustaq Oman League	0-0	0-0	7	4	D

Al Seeb

WWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Sur SC Oman League	1-0	2-0	10	5	W
30/08	Bahla Oman League	2-1	3-1	8	0	W
23/05	Ibri Club Oman League	4-0	7-1	0	6	W
18/05	Al Shabab Seeb Oman League	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
14/05	Al-Nahda Oman League	2-0	4-0	7	6	W
02/05	Dhofar Oman League	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
26/04	Al Rustaq Oman League	2-0	4-2	3	5	W
18/04	Sur SC Oman League	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
10/04	Saham Oman League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
05/04	Samail Oman League	1-1	2-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al-Nahda vs Al Seeb?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Seeb win (42%). Probabilities: Al-Nahda 28%, draw 30%, Al Seeb 42%.

How many goals are expected in Al-Nahda vs Al Seeb?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Al-Nahda 1.02 · Al Seeb 1.32), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al-Nahda vs Al Seeb?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.