Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 22/08, 00:30
Prediction: The Strongest vs Universitario De Vinto
Team pages: The Strongest · Universitario De Vinto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
The Strongest2.23
Universitario De Vinto0.86
1X2
The Strongest
Draw
Universitario De Vinto
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
The Strongest
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Universitario De Vinto
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
The Strongest
4–1–1
Universitario De Vinto
(6 last)
- Universitario De Vinto1-2The Strongest
- Universitario De Vinto0-1The Strongest
- The Strongest3-2Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto3-0The Strongest
- The Strongest1-1Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto2-4The Strongest
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · The Strongest 1539 · Universitario De Vinto 1402
| The Strongest | Draw | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Market | 68% | 20% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1539 vs 1402).
- H2H favours The Strongest: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| The Strongest | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 1.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.5 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · The Strongest 4–1–1 Universitario De Vinto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 1-2 HT 1-1 | The Strongest |
| 04/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 0-1 HT 0-1 | The Strongest |
| 30/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 20/02/25 America Friendlies | Universitario De Vinto | 3-0 HT 2-0 | The Strongest |
| 15/02/25 World Club Friendlies | The Strongest | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 26/10/24 Bolivia Clausura | Universitario De Vinto | 2-4 HT 0-1 | The Strongest |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 30 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Potosi | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Guabira | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 27 | 24 |
| 6 | Oriente Petrolero | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Aurora | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 22 |
| 9 | Blooming | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 21 |
| 10 | Nacional Potosi | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 18 |
| 11 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 17 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 17 |
| 13 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 16 |
| 14 | GV San Jose | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 12 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 12 |
| 16 | Universitario De Vinto | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | The Strongest | Universitario De Vinto |
|---|---|---|
| Oriente Petrolero | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Guabira | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Club Aurora | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| GV San Jose | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Bolivar | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Always Ready | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: The Strongest (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
The Strongest
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/08 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 16/07 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Universitario De Vinto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/06 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in The Strongest vs Universitario De Vinto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a The Strongest win (68%). Probabilities: The Strongest 68%, draw 20%, Universitario De Vinto 12%.
How many goals are expected in The Strongest vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model expects 3.09 goals (The Strongest 2.23 · Universitario De Vinto 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in The Strongest vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.