Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 07/08, 12:00

Prediction: UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil

Team pages: UCSA · Nyva Ternopil

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
UCSA1.58
Nyva Ternopil1.13
1X2
46% 28% 26%
UCSA Draw Nyva Ternopil
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
UCSA 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDWLLLLWDD
Nyva Ternopil 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWLWDLDD
Head-to-head
UCSA 2–0 Nyva Ternopil (2 last)
  • UCSA3-0Nyva Ternopil
  • Nyva Ternopil1-4UCSA
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UCSA 1475 · Nyva Ternopil 1461
UCSADrawNyva Ternopil
Our model46%27%26%
Market46%29%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours UCSA: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UCSANyva Ternopil
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 2.10.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.90.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.72 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.14.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · UCSA 200 Nyva Ternopil

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
01/06/26
Ukraine Persha Liga
UCSA3-0
HT 2-0
Nyva Ternopil
09/11/25
Ukraine Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil1-4
HT 1-1
UCSA

Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Viktoriya Sumy 2200 306
2 UCSA 3120 765
3 SC Poltava 2110 414
4 Ingulets Petrovo 2110 434
5 FK Kulykiv-Bilka 2110 324
6 FC Metalist Kharkiv 2101 433
7 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2101 233
8 Kolos Kovalivka II 2101 123
9 PFC Oleksandria 2020 552
10 Lokomotiv Kyiv 2020 332
11 FC Chernigiv 2020 222
12 Nyva Ternopil 3021 232
13 Polissya Zhytomyr II 2011 341
14 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 2011 231
15 FC Probiy Horodenka 2011 351
16 FSC Feniks-Mariupol 2002 030

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUCSANyva Ternopil
PFC Oleksandria 4-4 D 1-1 D
FC Metalist Kharkiv 0-2 L 2-0 W
Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0-5 L 0-1 L
FC Livyi Bereh 1-3 L 0-0 D
FC Chernigiv 0-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nyva Ternopil (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UCSA

LDWLLLLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 PFC Oleksandria
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-1 4-4 26 D
25/07 Polissya Zhytomyr II
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-2 2-2 46 D
01/06 Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-0 3-0 63 W
23/05 FC Metalist Kharkiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-2 57 L
15/05 Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-3 0-5 L
08/05 FC Livyi Bereh
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-3 17 L
02/05 FC Chernigiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-2 59 L
25/04 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-1 2-1 W
19/04 FC Viktoriya Sumy
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-1 35 D
12/04 FC Probiy Horodenka
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-1 L

Nyva Ternopil

LDLWLWDLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 SC Poltava
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-1 37 D
24/07 PFC Oleksandria
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 1-1 44 D
01/06 UCSA
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-2 0-3 73 L
23/05 Vorskla Poltava
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-1 91 D
17/05 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 2-1 W
09/05 FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-3 113 L
02/05 FC Metalist Kharkiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 2-0 W
26/04 Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-1 L
18/04 FC Livyi Bereh
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-0 08 D
11/04 FC Chernigiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-1 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UCSA win (46%). Probabilities: UCSA 46%, draw 28%, Nyva Ternopil 26%.

How many goals are expected in UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil?

The model expects 2.71 goals (UCSA 1.58 · Nyva Ternopil 1.13), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.