Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: SC Poltava vs UCSA

Team pages: SC Poltava · UCSA

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
SC Poltava1.79
UCSA1.16
1X2
51% 26% 23%
SC Poltava Draw UCSA
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SC Poltava 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLDLLLDWDW
UCSA 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLLLWDDW
Head-to-head
SC Poltava 1–1–0 UCSA (2 last)
  • SC Poltava1-1UCSA
  • UCSA1-3SC Poltava
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Poltava 1489 · UCSA 1483
SC PoltavaDrawUCSA
Our model51%25%24%
Market50%27%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SC PoltavaUCSA
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.51.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 2.41.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.15.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Poltava 110 UCSA

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/10/24
Ukraine Persha Liga
SC Poltava1-1
HT 0-1
UCSA
17/08/24
Ukraine Persha Liga
UCSA1-3
HT 0-2
SC Poltava

Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Viktoriya Sumy 3300 409
2 SC Poltava 3210 717
3 FK Kulykiv-Bilka 3210 537
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4211 447
5 FC Metalist Kharkiv 3201 536
6 PFC Oleksandria 3120 855
7 UCSA 3120 765
8 Ingulets Petrovo 3111 464
9 FC Chernigiv 3030 333
10 Lokomotiv Kyiv 4031 343
11 Kolos Kovalivka II 3102 243
12 Nyva Ternopil 3021 232
13 FC Probiy Horodenka 3021 462
14 Polissya Zhytomyr II 3012 351
14 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 3012 351
16 FSC Feniks-Mariupol 3003 060

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Poltava

DLDLLLDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-0 3-0 24 W
01/08 Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 1-1 67 D
25/07 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 3-0 35 W
23/05 Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-0 0-0 72 D
16/05 Dynamo Kiev
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-1 0-2 23 L
13/05 LNZ Lebedyn
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-1 0-2 01 L
10/05 Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-1 0-4 12 L
01/05 FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
3-2 3-3 14 D
24/04 Kolos Kovalivka
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-0 0-2 05 L
17/04 Obolon Kyiv
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-0 1-1 26 D

UCSA

DWLLLLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 1-0 45 W
31/07 PFC Oleksandria
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-1 4-4 26 D
25/07 Polissya Zhytomyr II
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-2 2-2 46 D
01/06 Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-0 3-0 63 W
23/05 FC Metalist Kharkiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-2 57 L
15/05 Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-3 0-5 L
08/05 FC Livyi Bereh
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-3 17 L
02/05 FC Chernigiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-2 59 L
25/04 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-1 2-1 W
19/04 FC Viktoriya Sumy
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-1 35 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Poltava vs UCSA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Poltava win (51%). Probabilities: SC Poltava 51%, draw 26%, UCSA 23%.

How many goals are expected in SC Poltava vs UCSA?

The model expects 2.95 goals (SC Poltava 1.79 · UCSA 1.16), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Poltava vs UCSA?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.