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Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 · 25/10, 12:00

Prediction: Real Madrid C vs Conquense

Team pages: Real Madrid C · Conquense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.88Total
Real Madrid C0.84
Conquense1.04
1X2
29% 31% 40%
Real Madrid C Draw Conquense
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Madrid C 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WWLDDLLDDD
Conquense 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWDWWWLWD
Head-to-head
Real Madrid C 0–1–3 Conquense (4 last)
  • Real Madrid C0-1Conquense
  • Conquense1-0Real Madrid C
  • Conquense1-1Real Madrid C
  • Real Madrid C0-1Conquense
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Madrid C 1487 · Conquense 1554
Real Madrid CDrawConquense
Our model27%34%38%
Market30%29%41%
Estimated total (ours) 1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Conquense (rating 1487 vs 1554).
  • H2H favours Conquense: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Real Madrid CConquense
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 0.51.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.20.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.32.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.14.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Madrid C 0–1–3 Conquense

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Real Madrid C0-1
HT 0-0
Conquense
05/10/25
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Conquense1-0
HT 1-0
Real Madrid C
27/04/25
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Conquense1-1
HT 0-0
Real Madrid C
15/12/24
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Real Madrid C0-1
HT 0-0
Conquense

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Conquense 7421 16914
2 Atletico Madrid C 7421 10714
3 Valladolid Promesas 7412 14613
4 Numancia 7340 6113
5 UD San Sebastian Reyes 7412 11713
6 Salamanca CF UDS 7412 11813
7 CF Talavera 7331 9612
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 7232 13129
9 Navalcarnero 7232 10109
10 Atletico Tordesillas 7223 11108
11 RSD Alcala 7223 10108
12 CD Guadalajara 7223 12138
13 Real Avila 7214 7117
14 CD Atletico Paso 7133 696
15 Albacete B 7133 9216
16 Real Madrid C 7052 145
17 Calvo Sotelo 7124 3105
18 Getafe B 7043 6114

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentReal Madrid CConquense
CD Atletico Paso 0-1 L 2-2 D
Atletico Madrid C 0-2 L 2-3 L
Albacete B 0-0 D 4-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Conquense (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Madrid C

WWLDDLLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 RSD Alcala
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-0 0-0 33 D
11/10 Atletico Tordesillas
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-0 0-0 79 D
07/10 CD Guadalajara
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 1-0 1-1 –– D
03/10 CD Atletico Paso
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-1 0-1 –– L
27/09 Atletico Madrid C
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-1 0-2 34 L
13/09 CF Talavera
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-0 0-0 63 D
06/09 Albacete B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-0 0-0 28 D
03/05 Conquense
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-0 0-1 96 L
26/04 UD San Sebastian Reyes
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 1-0 3-0 34 W
14/04 CD Colonia Moscardo
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-0 1-0 15 W

Conquense

LWWDWWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 CD Atletico Paso
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 1-0 2-2 –– D
11/10 Albacete B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 1-0 4-0 –– W
04/10 Atletico Madrid C
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 1-1 2-3 47 L
27/09 Navalcarnero
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-0 3-1 44 W
20/09 Salamanca CF UDS
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 1-0 1-0 66 W
13/09 Gimnastica Segoviana
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 1-0 2-1 22 W
06/09 Getafe B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-1 2-2 95 D
03/05 Real Madrid C
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-0 1-0 16 W
26/04 Tenerife B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 1-0 1-0 –– W
19/04 Navalcarnero
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
 0-1 0-2 27 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Madrid C vs Conquense?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Conquense win (40%). Probabilities: Real Madrid C 29%, draw 31%, Conquense 40%.

How many goals are expected in Real Madrid C vs Conquense?

The model expects 1.88 goals (Real Madrid C 0.84 · Conquense 1.04), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Madrid C vs Conquense?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.