Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 · 24/10, 18:00
Prediction: RSD Alcala vs UD San Sebastian Reyes
Team pages: RSD Alcala
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
RSD Alcala1.22
UD San Sebastian Reyes1.25
1X2
RSD Alcala
Draw
UD San Sebastian Reyes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
RSD Alcala
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
UD San Sebastian Reyes
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
RSD Alcala
0–1–2
UD San Sebastian Reyes
(3 last)
- RSD Alcala1-1UD San Sebastian Reyes
- UD San Sebastian Reyes1-0RSD Alcala
- RSD Alcala2-3UD San Sebastian Reyes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RSD Alcala 1498 · UD San Sebastian Reyes 1517
| RSD Alcala | Draw | UD San Sebastian Reyes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Market | 35% | 29% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours UD San Sebastian Reyes: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RSD Alcala | UD San Sebastian Reyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 2.9 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RSD Alcala 0–1–2 UD San Sebastian Reyes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 | RSD Alcala | 1-1 HT 1-1 | UD San Sebastian Reyes |
| 06/09/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 | UD San Sebastian Reyes | 1-0 HT 1-0 | RSD Alcala |
| 05/01/25 Europe Friendlies | RSD Alcala | 2-3 HT 0-1 | UD San Sebastian Reyes |
Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conquense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid C | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Valladolid Promesas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Numancia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | UD San Sebastian Reyes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Salamanca CF UDS | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
| 9 | Navalcarnero | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico Tordesillas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | RSD Alcala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | CD Guadalajara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Real Avila | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 14 | CD Atletico Paso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 15 | Albacete B | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 6 |
| 16 | Real Madrid C | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| 17 | Calvo Sotelo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 5 |
| 18 | Getafe B | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RSD Alcala | UD San Sebastian Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid C | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Calvo Sotelo | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Salamanca CF UDS | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Gimnastica Segoviana | 5-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RSD Alcala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Real Madrid C Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Calvo Sotelo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Navalcarnero Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Salamanca CF UDS Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 20/09 | Gimnastica Segoviana Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
2-2 | 5-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | CD Guadalajara Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | CF Talavera Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | CD Coria Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 26/04 | CD Quintanar del Rey Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Rayo Vallecano B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
UD San Sebastian Reyes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Calvo Sotelo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Salamanca CF UDS Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Real Avila Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Gimnastica Segoviana Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Numancia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Valladolid Promesas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Atletico Tordesillas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Tenerife B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Real Madrid C Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Orihuela Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RSD Alcala vs UD San Sebastian Reyes?
According to our model, the most likely result is an UD San Sebastian Reyes win (36%). Probabilities: RSD Alcala 35%, draw 29%, UD San Sebastian Reyes 36%.
How many goals are expected in RSD Alcala vs UD San Sebastian Reyes?
The model expects 2.46 goals (RSD Alcala 1.22 · UD San Sebastian Reyes 1.25), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in RSD Alcala vs UD San Sebastian Reyes?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.