Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 06/08, 15:00

Prediction: Guria Lanchkhuti vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi

Team pages: Guria Lanchkhuti

See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
Guria Lanchkhuti2.91
Lokomotiv Tbilisi0.91
1X2
81% 12% 7%
Guria Lanchkhuti Draw Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Guria Lanchkhuti 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWWWWWWL
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLLWDWWWDL
Head-to-head
Guria Lanchkhuti 2–1–2 Lokomotiv Tbilisi (5 last)
  • Lokomotiv Tbilisi1-4Guria Lanchkhuti
  • Guria Lanchkhuti1-0Lokomotiv Tbilisi
  • Lokomotiv Tbilisi2-1Guria Lanchkhuti
  • Guria Lanchkhuti0-0Lokomotiv Tbilisi
  • Lokomotiv Tbilisi3-0Guria Lanchkhuti
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guria Lanchkhuti 1598 · Lokomotiv Tbilisi 1492
Guria LanchkhutiDrawLokomotiv Tbilisi
Our model77%14%8%
Market84%10%5%
Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guria Lanchkhuti (rating 1598 vs 1492).
  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Guria LanchkhutiLokomotiv Tbilisi
Goals for / against (FT)2.9 / 0.90.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 0.20.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)56/44/0%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.43.1 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.12.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guria Lanchkhuti 212 Lokomotiv Tbilisi

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
05/03/26
Georgia Liga 3
Lokomotiv Tbilisi1-4
HT 0-3
Guria Lanchkhuti
29/10/16
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
Guria Lanchkhuti1-0
HT 0-0
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
27/08/16
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
Lokomotiv Tbilisi2-1
HT 1-1
Guria Lanchkhuti
06/03/16
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
Guria Lanchkhuti0-0
HT 0-0
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
11/09/15
Georgia Erovnuli Liga
Lokomotiv Tbilisi3-0
HT 2-0
Guria Lanchkhuti

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGuria LanchkhutiLokomotiv Tbilisi
FC Merani Tbilisi 6-1 W 0-1 L
FC Didube 2014 2-1 W 1-2 L
Iveria Khashuri 5-2 W 0-0 D
FC Orbi 2-1 W 1-2 L
FC Iberia 2010 6-0 W 1-0 W
Kolkheti 5-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Guria Lanchkhuti (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guria Lanchkhuti

DWLWWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Aragvi Dusheti
Georgia Cup
1-0 1-2 67 L
26/07 Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgia Cup
1-0 W
26/06 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Cup
5-0 6-1 42 W
21/06 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-1 68 W
15/06 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 5-2 73 W
28/05 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-1 W
20/05 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
4-0 6-0 62 W
15/05 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 34 L
07/05 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 5-0 22 W
03/05 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-1 96 D

Lokomotiv Tbilisi

LLLWDWWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 FC Basa
Georgia Cup
1-1 1-2 121 L
21/06 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-0 113 D
15/06 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-0 41 W
28/05 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 W
21/05 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 53 W
14/05 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-1 91 D
07/05 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 77 W
03/05 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-1 13 L
29/04 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-2 53 L
24/04 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guria Lanchkhuti vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guria Lanchkhuti win (81%). Probabilities: Guria Lanchkhuti 81%, draw 12%, Lokomotiv Tbilisi 7%.

How many goals are expected in Guria Lanchkhuti vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi?

The model expects 3.83 goals (Guria Lanchkhuti 2.91 · Lokomotiv Tbilisi 0.91), with a 56% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Guria Lanchkhuti vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.