Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 13/08, 19:00

Prediction: FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Kolkheti

Team pages: FC Tbilisi 2025 · Kolkheti

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
FC Tbilisi 20252.78
Kolkheti0.78
1X2
80% 13% 7%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Draw Kolkheti
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Tbilisi 2025 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWWWLD
Kolkheti 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWWLWLLDLL
Head-to-head
FC Tbilisi 2025 2–1–3 Kolkheti (6 last)
  • Kolkheti0-1FC Tbilisi 2025
  • FC Tbilisi 20252-3Kolkheti
  • Kolkheti0-2FC Tbilisi 2025
  • Kolkheti1-0FC Tbilisi 2025
  • FC Tbilisi 20250-0Kolkheti
  • Kolkheti3-1FC Tbilisi 2025
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Tbilisi 2025 1589 · Kolkheti 1451
FC Tbilisi 2025DrawKolkheti
Our model78%15%7%
Market81%12%7%
Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tbilisi 2025 (rating 1589 vs 1451).
  • H2H favours Kolkheti: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Tbilisi 2025Kolkheti
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 0.51.5 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.20.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.61.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.12.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tbilisi 2025 213 Kolkheti

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/03/26
Georgia Liga 3
Kolkheti0-1
HT 0-1
FC Tbilisi 2025
28/11/25
Georgia Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 20252-3
HT 1-2
Kolkheti
24/06/25
Georgia Liga 3
Kolkheti0-2
HT 0-0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10/12/23
Georgia Play-Offs
Kolkheti1-0
HT 0-0
FC Tbilisi 2025
06/12/23
Georgia Play-Offs
FC Tbilisi 20250-0
HT 0-0
Kolkheti
10/11/22
Georgia Liga 3
Kolkheti3-1
HT 1-1
FC Tbilisi 2025

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Tbilisi 2025Kolkheti
FC Margveti 2006 1-1 D 2-0 W
Gardabani 3-1 W 2-1 W
Betlemi 7-1 W 2-2 D
Wit Georgia 1-0 W 1-3 L
Guria Lanchkhuti 1-1 D 0-5 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tbilisi 2025 (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Tbilisi 2025

DWWWWWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/08 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-1 37 D
26/07 FC Rustavi
Georgia Cup
0-0 0-1 910 L
26/06 FC Aragvelebi
Georgia Cup
1-0 4-0 72 W
21/06 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
2-1 3-1 60 W
15/06 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 7-1 72 W
28/05 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 W
21/05 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 5-0 510 W
14/05 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 41 W
07/05 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 75 W
03/05 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-1 26 D

Kolkheti

LWWLWLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/08 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 2-3 13 L
15/06 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-3 03 L
02/06 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 2-2 61 D
28/05 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-2 L
24/05 FC Torpedo Kutaisi II
Georgia Cup
1-1 1-4 74 L
14/05 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 5-2 40 W
07/05 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-5 12 L
03/05 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 2-0 23 W
29/04 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-1 52 W
20/04 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 1-3 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Kolkheti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tbilisi 2025 win (80%). Probabilities: FC Tbilisi 2025 80%, draw 13%, Kolkheti 7%.

How many goals are expected in FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Kolkheti?

The model expects 3.56 goals (FC Tbilisi 2025 2.78 · Kolkheti 0.78), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Kolkheti?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.