Football · Belarus Premier League · 14/08, 16:00
Prediction: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr
Team pages: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk · Slavia Mozyr
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1.13
Slavia Mozyr1.16
1X2
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Draw
Slavia Mozyr
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Slavia Mozyr
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1–3–2
Slavia Mozyr
(6 last)
- Slavia Mozyr1-1FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk0-2Slavia Mozyr
- Slavia Mozyr2-0FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1-0Slavia Mozyr
- Slavia Mozyr1-1FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1-1Slavia Mozyr
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slavia Mozyr (rating 1467 vs 1527).
- H2H favours Slavia Mozyr: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | Slavia Mozyr | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5 | – / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1–3–2 Slavia Mozyr
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Belarus Premier League | Slavia Mozyr | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 15/03/26 Belarus Cup | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Slavia Mozyr |
| 08/03/26 Belarus Cup | Slavia Mozyr | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 12/09/25 Belarus Premier League | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Slavia Mozyr |
| 25/04/25 Belarus Premier League | Slavia Mozyr | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 14/09/24 Belarus Premier League | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Slavia Mozyr |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Isloch | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 31 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 15 | 30 |
| 5 | FC Minsk | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 26 |
| 7 | FK Gomel | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Torpedo Zhodino | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 23 |
| 9 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | Neman Grodno | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 21 |
| 11 | Slavia Mozyr | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 17 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 11 |
| 15 | BATE Borisov | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 10 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | Slavia Mozyr |
|---|---|---|
| BATE Borisov | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 26/07 | Neman Grodno Belarus Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Bumprom Belarus Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Slavia Mozyr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Volna Pinsk Belarus Cup |
4-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/07 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Slavia Mozyr win (35%). Probabilities: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 34%, draw 31%, Slavia Mozyr 35%.
How many goals are expected in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
The model expects 2.29 goals (FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1.13 · Slavia Mozyr 1.16), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.