Football · Belarus Premier League · 15/08, 14:10
Prediction: FK Gomel vs Naftan Novopolotsk
Team pages: FK Gomel · Naftan Novopolotsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
FK Gomel1.89
Naftan Novopolotsk1.23
1X2
FK Gomel
Draw
Naftan Novopolotsk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Gomel
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Naftan Novopolotsk
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Gomel
5–1
Naftan Novopolotsk
(6 last)
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-2FK Gomel
- Naftan Novopolotsk5-3FK Gomel
- FK Gomel2-0Naftan Novopolotsk
- FK Gomel2-1Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-2FK Gomel
- FK Gomel3-2Naftan Novopolotsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Gomel (rating 1491 vs 1447).
- H2H favours FK Gomel: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Gomel | Naftan Novopolotsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.8 | – / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Gomel 5–0–1 Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FK Gomel |
| 04/10/25 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 5-3 HT 2-1 | FK Gomel |
| 16/05/25 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 21/09/24 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 04/05/24 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FK Gomel |
| 12/08/23 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Isloch | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 31 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 15 | 30 |
| 5 | FC Minsk | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 26 |
| 7 | FK Gomel | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Torpedo Zhodino | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 23 |
| 9 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | Neman Grodno | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 21 |
| 11 | Slavia Mozyr | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 17 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 11 |
| 15 | BATE Borisov | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 10 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Gomel | Naftan Novopolotsk |
|---|---|---|
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Gomel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Niva Dolbizno Belarus Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/07 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | FK Yenisey Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 19/07 | FC Orsha Belarus Cup |
2-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Maxline Rogachev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Gomel vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Gomel win (52%). Probabilities: FK Gomel 52%, draw 24%, Naftan Novopolotsk 24%.
How many goals are expected in FK Gomel vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model expects 3.13 goals (FK Gomel 1.89 · Naftan Novopolotsk 1.23), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Gomel vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.