Football · Belarus Premier League · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Neman Grodno vs FC Minsk
Team pages: Neman Grodno · FC Minsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Neman Grodno1.17
FC Minsk1.29
1X2
Neman Grodno
Draw
FC Minsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Neman Grodno
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
FC Minsk
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Neman Grodno
6–0
FC Minsk
(6 last)
- FC Minsk0-1Neman Grodno
- FC Minsk1-4Neman Grodno
- Neman Grodno2-1FC Minsk
- Neman Grodno4-0FC Minsk
- FC Minsk0-2Neman Grodno
- FC Minsk0-1Neman Grodno
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Minsk (rating 1455 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Neman Grodno: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Neman Grodno | FC Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.2 | – / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Neman Grodno 6–0–0 FC Minsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Neman Grodno |
| 08/11/25 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Neman Grodno |
| 22/06/25 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Minsk |
| 01/12/24 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FC Minsk |
| 07/07/24 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Neman Grodno |
| 09/03/24 Belarus Cup | FC Minsk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Neman Grodno |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Isloch | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 31 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 15 | 30 |
| 5 | FC Minsk | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 26 |
| 7 | FK Gomel | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Torpedo Zhodino | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 23 |
| 9 | Slavia Mozyr | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 21 |
| 10 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 21 |
| 11 | Neman Grodno | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 17 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 13 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 12 |
| 15 | BATE Borisov | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Neman Grodno | FC Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| FK Gomel | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Dinamo Minsk | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Dinamo Brest | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Minsk (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neman Grodno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Soligorsk Belarus Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/06 | FK Yenisey Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
FC Minsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Smorgon Belarus Cup |
2-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neman Grodno vs FC Minsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Minsk win (38%). Probabilities: Neman Grodno 32%, draw 30%, FC Minsk 38%.
How many goals are expected in Neman Grodno vs FC Minsk?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Neman Grodno 1.17 · FC Minsk 1.29), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Neman Grodno vs FC Minsk?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.