Football · Belarus Premier League · 15/08, 19:00
Prediction: BATE Borisov vs FC Vitebsk
Team pages: BATE Borisov · FC Vitebsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
BATE Borisov1.07
FC Vitebsk1.28
1X2
BATE Borisov
Draw
FC Vitebsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
BATE Borisov
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
FC Vitebsk
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BATE Borisov
2–1–3
FC Vitebsk
(6 last)
- FC Vitebsk1-0BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov1-5FC Vitebsk
- FC Vitebsk0-1BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov1-0FC Vitebsk
- FC Vitebsk1-0BATE Borisov
- FC Vitebsk1-1BATE Borisov
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vitebsk (rating 1460 vs 1546).
- H2H favours FC Vitebsk: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BATE Borisov | FC Vitebsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 3.2 | – / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BATE Borisov 2–1–3 FC Vitebsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Belarus Premier League | FC Vitebsk | 1-0 HT 1-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 01/08/25 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 1-5 HT 0-0 | FC Vitebsk |
| 15/03/25 Belarus Premier League | FC Vitebsk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 15/09/24 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Vitebsk |
| 26/04/24 Belarus Premier League | FC Vitebsk | 1-0 HT 1-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 16/09/22 Belarus Premier League | FC Vitebsk | 1-1 HT 0-0 | BATE Borisov |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Isloch | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 31 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 15 | 30 |
| 5 | FC Minsk | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 26 |
| 7 | FK Gomel | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Torpedo Zhodino | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 23 |
| 9 | Slavia Mozyr | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 21 |
| 10 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 21 |
| 11 | Neman Grodno | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 17 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 13 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 12 |
| 15 | BATE Borisov | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BATE Borisov | FC Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| FC Baranovichi | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| FK Gomel | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Vitebsk (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BATE Borisov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/07 | FC Sion UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | FC Sion UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 16/07 | AF Elbasani UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/07 | AF Elbasani UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 17/06 | FC Molodechno-Dyussh-4 Belarus Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
FC Vitebsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | FC Ostrovets Belarus Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BATE Borisov vs FC Vitebsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Vitebsk win (40%). Probabilities: BATE Borisov 30%, draw 30%, FC Vitebsk 40%.
How many goals are expected in BATE Borisov vs FC Vitebsk?
The model expects 2.35 goals (BATE Borisov 1.07 · FC Vitebsk 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in BATE Borisov vs FC Vitebsk?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.