Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 06/08, 15:00

Prediction: FC Margveti 2006 vs FC Tbilisi 2025

Team pages: FC Margveti 2006

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
FC Margveti 20060.73
FC Tbilisi 20252.13
1X2
11% 19% 69%
FC Margveti 2006 Draw FC Tbilisi 2025
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
FC Margveti 2006 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLWLWWL
FC Tbilisi 2025 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWWWL
Head-to-head
FC Margveti 2006 0–2 FC Tbilisi 2025 (2 last)
  • FC Tbilisi 20252-1FC Margveti 2006
  • FC Tbilisi 20253-1FC Margveti 2006
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Margveti 2006 1472 · FC Tbilisi 2025 1605
FC Margveti 2006DrawFC Tbilisi 2025
Our model11%21%69%
Market12%18%70%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tbilisi 2025 (rating 1472 vs 1605).
  • H2H favours FC Tbilisi 2025: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Margveti 2006FC Tbilisi 2025
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.92.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 10.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.42.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.14.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Margveti 2006 002 FC Tbilisi 2025

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/03/26
Georgia Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 20252-1
HT 2-0
FC Margveti 2006
30/10/25
Georgia Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 20253-1
HT 2-0
FC Margveti 2006

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Margveti 2006FC Tbilisi 2025
Dinamo Tbilisi II 2-0 W 2-1 W
Guria Lanchkhuti 0-5 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Margveti 2006

LLWLLWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 FC Iberia 1999
Georgia Cup
0-1 1-3 54 L
26/06 FC Torpedo Kutaisi II
Georgia Cup
2-0 4-0 23 W
21/06 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 2-0 15 W
15/06 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-4 42 L
28/05 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 W
21/05 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 33 L
14/05 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-2 106 L
07/05 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
2-2 3-2 82 W
03/05 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-2 33 L
29/04 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-5 42 L

FC Tbilisi 2025

WDWWWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 FC Rustavi
Georgia Cup
0-0 0-1 910 L
26/06 FC Aragvelebi
Georgia Cup
1-0 4-0 72 W
21/06 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
2-1 3-1 60 W
15/06 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 7-1 72 W
28/05 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 W
21/05 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 5-0 510 W
14/05 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 41 W
07/05 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 75 W
03/05 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-1 26 D
29/04 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-1 32 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Margveti 2006 vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tbilisi 2025 win (69%). Probabilities: FC Margveti 2006 11%, draw 19%, FC Tbilisi 2025 69%.

How many goals are expected in FC Margveti 2006 vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

The model expects 2.87 goals (FC Margveti 2006 0.73 · FC Tbilisi 2025 2.13), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Margveti 2006 vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.